TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105703
Played Sep 11Finished
Mykola Polysynskyi
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511118119711711
Mykhailo Skliar
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:24 and never touched — 70.8% is still 70.8%
Graded at full timeMykola Polysynskyi to win
70.8%
70.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMykola Polysynskyi above · Mykhailo Skliar below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 91 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Mykola Polysynskyi at 70.8%
91 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:24What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Polysynskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Polysynskyi 1444 vs Skliar 1355
Polysynskyi
Wrong
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polysynskyi 40% vs Skliar 20%
Polysynskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polysynskyi 50% vs Skliar 30%
Polysynskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Polysynskyi -1 · Skliar +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Polysynskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skliar form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolysynskyi 1.57 / Skliar 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Polysynskyi)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13105703
Polysynskyi1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite49% won 82 of 167
Up 2–0, closes it89% 41 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it70% 60 of 86
Skliar2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog25% won 16 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back19% 7 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolysynskyiSkliarBasisWin rate · lifetime357 / 690 vs 60 / 12151.7%49.6%357 / 690 vs 60 / 121Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolysynskyiPolysynskyi 1.57/Skliar 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.7%
Polysynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Skliar won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Polysynskyi10
LSep 10 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.738930D. Kim2.001111113WSep 10 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.83111284113A. Peretiatko1.83610111192WSep 8 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi1.571412113Y. Sokoltsov2.25121060LSep 8 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.73115581D. Kim2.0091111113LSep 8 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi1.57111011342D. Us2.25712911113LSep 7 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.83811131042A. Peretiatko1.831161112113WSep 7 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi2.2011711113M. Fomin1.61811791LAug 27 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi1.57114139122Y. Sokoltsov2.256111111143WAug 27 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.671111133D. Us2.1079110WAug 27 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi1.731111113D. Kim2.009490
M. Skliar10
WSep 10 · 23:05M. Skliar2.75611711123A. Peretiatko1.40115118102LSep 10 · 22:05M. Fomin1.671111113M. Skliar2.106370LSep 10 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.401111157113M. Skliar2.7576171192LSep 10 · 02:05M. Skliar4.009190H. Kulishov1.221111113LSep 10 · 01:05M. Skliar2.501210111182D. Kim1.50141299113WSep 9 · 23:35M. Skliar3.40611113113Y. Stepanchuk1.3011891122WSep 9 · 21:35M. Skliar1.911011211113M. Fomin1.8012811252LSep 7 · 03:35M. Skliar2.759770A. Peretiatko1.401111113LSep 7 · 01:35Y. Stepanchuk1.6191111113M. Skliar2.20111961LSep 7 · 24:35M. Skliar2.201081281D. Kim1.61121110113
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