TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105782
Played Sep 11Finished
Mykola Polysynskyi
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1214511311––––
Hryhorii Kulishov
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:35 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeHryhorii Kulishov to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykola Polysynskyi above · Hryhorii Kulishov below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 56 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Hryhorii Kulishov at 60.5%
56 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Polysynskyi 20–16 Hryhorii Kulishov Hryhorii Kulishov has won 16 of their 36 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:35What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kulishov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-16 in 36
Polysynskyi
Wrong
gap of 4 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Polysynskyi 1421 vs Kulishov 1527
Kulishov
Correct
both rated, 106 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polysynskyi 40% vs Kulishov 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polysynskyi 30% vs Kulishov 50%
Kulishov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Polysynskyi -3 · Kulishov +2
Polysynskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Kulishov) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulishov form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolysynskyi 2.25 / Kulishov 1.57
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Kulishov)+4.7pp
Setka Cup · #13105782
Polysynskyi2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 20 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back21% 5 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Kulishov1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 191 of 305
Up 2–0, closes it95% 108 of 114
Up 1–0, closes it74% 145 of 196
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePolysynskyi3wins
AwayKulishov7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKulishov leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePolysynskyi60%3 of 5
AwayKulishov100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polysynskyi5Kulishov5n = 10split evenly
S2Polysynskyi3Kulishov7n = 10Kulishov took 7 of 10
S3Polysynskyi6Kulishov4n = 10Polysynskyi took 6 of 10
S4Polysynskyi0Kulishov7n = 7Kulishov took 7 of 7
S5Polysynskyi2Kulishov2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPolysynskyiKulishovP − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.740.8−5.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolysynskyiKulishovBasisWin rate · lifetime356 / 690 vs 485 / 94551.6%51.3%356 / 690 vs 485 / 945Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulishovPolysynskyi 2.25/Kulishov 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.6%
Kulishov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kulishov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 21 · 01:05M. Polysynskyi—117119162H. Kulishov—911311183
WAug 2 · 21:35M. Polysynskyi—1111113H. Kulishov—9790
LJul 15 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi—5680H. Kulishov—1111113
LJul 12 · 23:35M. Polysynskyi—91111582H. Kulishov—119711113
LJun 29 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi—541861H. Kulishov—111116113
LJun 25 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi—8940H. Kulishov—1111113
LJun 21 · 23:35M. Polysynskyi—411941H. Kulishov—11911113
LJun 14 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi—117771H. Kulishov—71111113
WJun 11 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi—119112113H. Kulishov—81161192
WJul 22 · 02:35M. Polysynskyi—1111115113H. Kulishov—71351142
M. Polysynskyi10
LSep 11 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.838111451M. Fomin1.8311616113LSep 11 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi1.5751111772M. Skliar2.25118911113LSep 10 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.738930D. Kim2.001111113WSep 10 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.83111284113A. Peretiatko1.83610111192WSep 8 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi1.571412113Y. Sokoltsov2.25121060LSep 8 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.73115581D. Kim2.0091111113LSep 8 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi1.57111011342D. Us2.25712911113LSep 7 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.83811131042A. Peretiatko1.831161112113WSep 7 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi2.2011711113M. Fomin1.61811791LAug 27 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi1.57114139122Y. Sokoltsov2.256111111143
H. Kulishov10
WSep 11 · 02:05H. Kulishov1.2211711113M. Skliar4.00611961WSep 11 · 01:05H. Kulishov1.501011118113A. Peretiatko2.5012751162LSep 10 · 23:35H. Kulishov1.80713871M. Fomin1.91111111113LSep 10 · 21:35H. Kulishov1.839111171D. Kim1.8311713113LSep 10 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.83111191262M. Fomin1.83461114113WSep 10 · 02:05M. Skliar4.009190H. Kulishov1.221111113LSep 10 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov2.631012911113H. Kulishov1.44121011982WSep 9 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.8391111113D. Kim1.83117881LSep 9 · 22:05Y. Stepanchuk1.91111011113H. Kulishov1.80712591WSep 7 · 19:55V. Kobets2.2510590H. Kulishov1.571211113
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