TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122810
Played Sep 14Finished
Mykola Polysynskyi
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811511118511––
Hryhorii Kulishov
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:34 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeHryhorii Kulishov to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykola Polysynskyi above · Hryhorii Kulishov below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 70 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Hryhorii Kulishov at 60.5%
70 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Polysynskyi 20–16 Hryhorii Kulishov Hryhorii Kulishov has won 16 of their 36 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:34What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kulishov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-16 in 36
Polysynskyi
Wrong
gap of 4 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Polysynskyi 1414 vs Kulishov 1556
Kulishov
Correct
both rated, 142 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polysynskyi 20% vs Kulishov 100%
Kulishov
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polysynskyi 30% vs Kulishov 60%
Kulishov
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Polysynskyi -1 · Kulishov +5
Kulishov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Kulishov) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulishov form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolysynskyi 2.50 / Kulishov 1.50
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Kulishov)+4.7pp
Setka Cup · #13122810
Polysynskyi2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 18 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back18% 4 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Kulishov1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 176 of 279
Up 2–0, closes it96% 101 of 105
Up 1–0, closes it74% 134 of 180
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePolysynskyi3wins
AwayKulishov7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKulishov leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePolysynskyi60%3 of 5
AwayKulishov100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polysynskyi5Kulishov5n = 10split evenly
S2Polysynskyi3Kulishov7n = 10Kulishov took 7 of 10
S3Polysynskyi6Kulishov4n = 10Polysynskyi took 6 of 10
S4Polysynskyi0Kulishov7n = 7Kulishov took 7 of 7
S5Polysynskyi2Kulishov2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPolysynskyiKulishovP − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.740.8−5.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolysynskyiKulishovBasisWin rate · lifetime354 / 686 vs 484 / 93851.6%51.6%354 / 686 vs 484 / 938Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulishovPolysynskyi 2.50/Kulishov 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.2%
Kulishov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kulishov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 21 · 01:05M. Polysynskyi54117119162H. Kulishov52911311183
WAug 2 · 21:35M. Polysynskyi331111113H. Kulishov259790
LJul 15 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi195680H. Kulishov331111113
LJul 12 · 23:35M. Polysynskyi4491111582H. Kulishov49119711113
LJun 29 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi33541861H. Kulishov49111116113
LJun 25 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi218940H. Kulishov331111113
LJun 21 · 23:35M. Polysynskyi28411941H. Kulishov4211911113
LJun 14 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi32117771H. Kulishov4071111113
WJun 11 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi44119112113H. Kulishov4581161192
WJul 22 · 02:35M. Polysynskyi491111115113H. Kulishov4071351142
M. Polysynskyi10
LSep 13 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.733870D. Kim2.001111113WSep 13 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.831111113M. Skliar1.834870LSep 11 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi2.2512530H. Kulishov1.571411113LSep 11 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.838111451M. Fomin1.8311616113LSep 11 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi1.5751111772M. Skliar2.25118911113LSep 10 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.738930D. Kim2.001111113WSep 10 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.83111284113A. Peretiatko1.83610111192WSep 8 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi1.571412113Y. Sokoltsov2.25121060LSep 8 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.73115581D. Kim2.0091111113LSep 8 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi1.57111011342D. Us2.25712911113
H. Kulishov10
WSep 13 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.28111110113M. Skliar3.50661271WSep 13 · 22:05Y. Sokoltsov2.6314550H. Kulishov1.441611113WSep 11 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi2.2512530H. Kulishov1.571411113WSep 11 · 02:05H. Kulishov1.2211711113M. Skliar4.00611961WSep 11 · 01:05H. Kulishov1.501011118113A. Peretiatko2.5012751162LSep 10 · 23:35H. Kulishov1.80713871M. Fomin1.91111111113LSep 10 · 21:35H. Kulishov1.839111171D. Kim1.8311713113LSep 10 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.83111191262M. Fomin1.83461114113WSep 10 · 02:05M. Skliar4.009190H. Kulishov1.221111113LSep 10 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov2.631012911113H. Kulishov1.44121011982
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