TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13121800
Played Sep 13Finished
Yevhenii Sokoltsov
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1416511511––––
Hryhorii Kulishov
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:48 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeHryhorii Kulishov to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhenii Sokoltsov above · Hryhorii Kulishov below
Set 1 · 14-16
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 62 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Hryhorii Kulishov at 65.3%
62 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Sokoltsov 33–52 Hryhorii Kulishov Yevhenii Sokoltsov has won 33 of their 85 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:48What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kulishov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-52 in 85
Kulishov
Correct
gap of 19 in 85, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokoltsov 1516 vs Kulishov 1537
Kulishov
Correct
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokoltsov 60% vs Kulishov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokoltsov 60% vs Kulishov 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokoltsov +3 · Kulishov +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Kulishov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokoltsov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokoltsov 2.63 / Kulishov 1.44
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Kulishov)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13121800
Sokoltsov2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 53 of 141
Down 0–1, comes back19% 15 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 50
Kulishov1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 176 of 279
Up 2–0, closes it96% 101 of 105
Up 1–0, closes it74% 134 of 180
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSokoltsov3wins
AwayKulishov7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKulishov leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSokoltsov66.7%2 of 3
AwayKulishov85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokoltsov3Kulishov7n = 10Kulishov took 7 of 10
S2Sokoltsov3Kulishov7n = 10Kulishov took 7 of 10
S3Sokoltsov3Kulishov7n = 10Kulishov took 7 of 10
S4Sokoltsov3Kulishov5n = 8Kulishov took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSokoltsovKulishovS − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.539.8−7.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokoltsovKulishovBasisWin rate · lifetime257 / 525 vs 486 / 94649%51.4%257 / 525 vs 486 / 946Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.239.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulishovSokoltsov 2.63/Kulishov 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Kulishov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kulishov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 20 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov521011911113H. Kulishov4612911682
LAug 17 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov29711291H. Kulishov4111811113
LAug 12 · 23:05Y. Sokoltsov27114841H. Kulishov4291111113
LAug 10 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov155640H. Kulishov331111113
LAug 7 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov329111021H. Kulishov4311912113
LAug 3 · 24:35Y. Sokoltsov33591181H. Kulishov4011117113
WJul 30 · 03:35Y. Sokoltsov4212811113H. Kulishov381011981
LJul 27 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov29851151H. Kulishov3411111113
LJul 23 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov205960H. Kulishov331111113
WJul 20 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov46116611123H. Kulishov48911117102
Y. Sokoltsov10
WSep 10 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.401111157113M. Skliar2.7576171192WSep 10 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov1.91912211113Y. Stepanchuk1.80111011792WSep 10 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov2.631012911113H. Kulishov1.44121011982LSep 9 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov1.506850M. Fomin2.501111113LSep 9 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov1.8091390D. Kim1.911115113LSep 8 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi1.571412113Y. Sokoltsov2.25121060LSep 8 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.6111711472D. Us2.20611211113WSep 8 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.5391111163M. Fomin2.381163141WSep 7 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.801181111113D. Kim1.9113116862WSep 7 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.207690
H. Kulishov10
WSep 11 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi2.2512530H. Kulishov1.571411113WSep 11 · 02:05H. Kulishov1.2211711113M. Skliar4.00611961WSep 11 · 01:05H. Kulishov1.501011118113A. Peretiatko2.5012751162LSep 10 · 23:35H. Kulishov1.80713871M. Fomin1.91111111113LSep 10 · 21:35H. Kulishov1.839111171D. Kim1.8311713113LSep 10 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.83111191262M. Fomin1.83461114113WSep 10 · 02:05M. Skliar4.009190H. Kulishov1.221111113LSep 10 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov2.631012911113H. Kulishov1.44121011982WSep 9 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.8391111113D. Kim1.83117881LSep 9 · 22:05Y. Stepanchuk1.91111011113H. Kulishov1.80712591
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