TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126903
Played Sep 14Finished
Mykola Polysynskyi
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11131210711117118
Mykyta Fomin
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:58 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeMykyta Fomin to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMykola Polysynskyi above · Mykyta Fomin below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 101 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Mykyta Fomin at 55.7%
101 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Polysynskyi 2–4 Mykyta Fomin Mykola Polysynskyi has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:58What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Fomin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Fomin
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Polysynskyi 1414 vs Fomin 1493
Fomin
Wrong
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polysynskyi 40% vs Fomin 60%
Fomin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polysynskyi 30% vs Fomin 70%
Fomin
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Polysynskyi -1 · Fomin -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Fomin)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolysynskyi 2.00 / Fomin 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Fomin)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13126903
Polysynskyi2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 18 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back17% 4 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Fomin1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 41 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it76% 19 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it63% 29 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomePolysynskyi2wins
AwayFomin4wins
2 of 6 to a deciderFomin leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePolysynskyi66.7%2 of 3
AwayFomin100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polysynskyi3Fomin3n = 6split evenly
S2Polysynskyi1Fomin5n = 6Fomin took 5 of 6
S3Polysynskyi2Fomin4n = 6Fomin took 4 of 6
S4Polysynskyi2Fomin2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricPolysynskyiFominP − FBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match34.341.0−6.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolysynskyiFominBasisWin rate · lifetime355 / 689 vs 278 / 57051.5%48.8%355 / 689 vs 278 / 570Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.836.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FominPolysynskyi 2.00/Fomin 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.7%
Fomin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Polysynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 11 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi388111451M. Fomin4411616113
WSep 7 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi4011711113M. Fomin35811791
LAug 20 · 21:35M. Polysynskyi185850M. Fomin331111113
LAug 17 · 23:35M. Polysynskyi176650M. Fomin331111113
LJun 18 · 23:35M. Polysynskyi4311811672M. Fomin48911611113
WJun 11 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi50166611113M. Fomin53141111982
M. Polysynskyi10
LSep 14 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi2.00113671S. Pitsyk1.7391111113WSep 14 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.67119511113Y. Sokoltsov2.1091111182LSep 14 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi2.50851151H. Kulishov1.5011118113LSep 13 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.733870D. Kim2.001111113WSep 13 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.831111113M. Skliar1.834870LSep 11 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi2.2512530H. Kulishov1.571411113LSep 11 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.838111451M. Fomin1.8311616113LSep 11 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi1.5751111772M. Skliar2.25118911113LSep 10 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.738930D. Kim2.001111113WSep 10 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.83111284113A. Peretiatko1.83610111192
M. Fomin10
LSep 11 · 03:35M. Fomin1.837790A. Peretiatko1.831111113WSep 11 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.838111451M. Fomin1.8311616113LSep 11 · 24:35M. Fomin2.2081171132D. Kim1.61117114113WSep 10 · 23:35H. Kulishov1.80713871M. Fomin1.91111111113WSep 10 · 22:05M. Fomin1.671111113M. Skliar2.106370WSep 10 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.83111191262M. Fomin1.83461114113WSep 10 · 02:35M. Fomin2.20861111113D. Kim1.6111118992WSep 10 · 24:35Y. Stepanchuk1.67111141062M. Fomin2.10361112113WSep 9 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov1.506850M. Fomin2.501111113LSep 9 · 21:35M. Skliar1.911011211113M. Fomin1.8012811252
Upcoming Matches
M. Polysynskyi
M. Fomin
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.