TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122563
Played Sep 14Finished
Mykola Polysynskyi
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119911511111118
Yevhenii Sokoltsov
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:51 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeMykola Polysynskyi to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykola Polysynskyi above · Yevhenii Sokoltsov below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-1
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 87 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Mykola Polysynskyi at 54.9%
87 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Polysynskyi 34–18 Yevhenii Sokoltsov Yevhenii Sokoltsov has won 18 of their 52 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:51What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Polysynskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-18 in 52
Polysynskyi
Correct
gap of 16 in 52, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Polysynskyi 1407 vs Sokoltsov 1548
Sokoltsov
Wrong
both rated, 141 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polysynskyi 20% vs Sokoltsov 80%
Sokoltsov
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polysynskyi 30% vs Sokoltsov 50%
Sokoltsov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Polysynskyi -2 · Sokoltsov +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Polysynskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokoltsov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolysynskyi 1.67 / Sokoltsov 2.10
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Polysynskyi)-0.9pp
Setka Cup · #13122563
Polysynskyi1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 76 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it88% 38 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it72% 56 of 78
Sokoltsov2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 53 of 141
Down 0–1, comes back19% 15 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePolysynskyi5wins
AwaySokoltsov5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePolysynskyi75%3 of 4
AwaySokoltsov66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polysynskyi4Sokoltsov6n = 10Sokoltsov took 6 of 10
S2Polysynskyi6Sokoltsov4n = 10Polysynskyi took 6 of 10
S3Polysynskyi6Sokoltsov4n = 10Polysynskyi took 6 of 10
S4Polysynskyi2Sokoltsov5n = 7Sokoltsov took 5 of 7
S5Polysynskyi3Sokoltsov2n = 5Polysynskyi took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPolysynskyiSokoltsovP − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.039.4−1.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolysynskyiSokoltsovBasisWin rate · lifetime354 / 687 vs 256 / 52351.5%49%354 / 687 vs 256 / 523Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolysynskyiPolysynskyi 1.67/Sokoltsov 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Polysynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Polysynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi371412113Y. Sokoltsov28121060
LAug 27 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi49114139122Y. Sokoltsov536111111143
WAug 21 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi47911115113Y. Sokoltsov4511681192
LAug 2 · 23:35M. Polysynskyi4459111182Y. Sokoltsov49111197113
LJul 15 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi26311661Y. Sokoltsov4011711113
WJul 9 · 23:55M. Polysynskyi44111147113Y. Sokoltsov4298111132
LJun 22 · 01:05M. Polysynskyi145630Y. Sokoltsov331111113
WMay 12 · 22:05M. Polysynskyi331111113Y. Sokoltsov239680
WMay 7 · 02:05M. Polysynskyi45751111113Y. Sokoltsov3511116432
LApr 14 · 21:35M. Polysynskyi411113891Y. Sokoltsov46131111113
M. Polysynskyi10
LSep 14 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi2.50851151H. Kulishov1.5011118113LSep 13 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.733870D. Kim2.001111113WSep 13 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.831111113M. Skliar1.834870LSep 11 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi2.2512530H. Kulishov1.571411113LSep 11 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.838111451M. Fomin1.8311616113LSep 11 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi1.5751111772M. Skliar2.25118911113LSep 10 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.738930D. Kim2.001111113WSep 10 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.83111284113A. Peretiatko1.83610111192WSep 8 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi1.571412113Y. Sokoltsov2.25121060LSep 8 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.73115581D. Kim2.0091111113
Y. Sokoltsov10
WSep 14 · 24:35Y. Sokoltsov1.7391111123D. Kim2.001184101WSep 13 · 23:35S. Pitsyk1.806790Y. Sokoltsov1.911111113LSep 13 · 22:05Y. Sokoltsov2.6314550H. Kulishov1.441611113WSep 10 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.401111157113M. Skliar2.7576171192WSep 10 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov1.91912211113Y. Stepanchuk1.80111011792WSep 10 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov2.631012911113H. Kulishov1.44121011982LSep 9 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov1.506850M. Fomin2.501111113LSep 9 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov1.8091390D. Kim1.911115113LSep 8 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi1.571412113Y. Sokoltsov2.25121060LSep 8 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.6111711472D. Us2.20611211113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.