TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122547
Played Sep 14Finished
Yevhenii Sokoltsov
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111181141210––
Dmitriy Kim
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:51 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Sokoltsov to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhenii Sokoltsov above · Dmitriy Kim below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 76 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Yevhenii Sokoltsov at 54.1%
76 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Sokoltsov 45–38 Dmitriy Kim Dmitriy Kim has won 38 of their 83 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:51What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sokoltsov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
45-38 in 83
Sokoltsov
Correct
gap of 7 in 83, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokoltsov 1535 vs Kim 1567
Kim
Wrong
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokoltsov 80% vs Kim 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokoltsov 50% vs Kim 70%
Kim
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokoltsov +1 · Kim +3
Kim
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sokoltsov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kim form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokoltsov 1.73 / Kim 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sokoltsov)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13122547
Sokoltsov1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 80 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it96% 46 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it77% 62 of 81
Kim2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 131 of 296
Down 0–1, comes back34% 65 of 190
Down 0–2, comes back9% 9 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSokoltsov7wins
AwayKim3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSokoltsov leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSokoltsov100%5 of 5
AwayKim60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokoltsov5Kim5n = 10split evenly
S2Sokoltsov5Kim5n = 10split evenly
S3Sokoltsov5Kim5n = 10split evenly
S4Sokoltsov4Kim2n = 6Sokoltsov took 4 of 6
S5Sokoltsov4Kim1n = 5Sokoltsov took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSokoltsovKimS − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.736.2+3.5per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokoltsovKimBasisWin rate · lifetime255 / 522 vs 488 / 100948.9%48.4%255 / 522 vs 488 / 1009Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SokoltsovSokoltsov 1.73/Kim 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sokoltsov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sokoltsov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov3191390D. Kim371115113
WSep 7 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov521181111113D. Kim4413116862
WSep 4 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov341111123D. Kim2064100
LSep 2 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov43561111102D. Kim50111179123
WAug 27 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov50912711113D. Kim43111011742
WAug 24 · 22:05Y. Sokoltsov45115117113D. Kim4351191172
WAug 21 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov331111113D. Kim236890
WAug 16 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov4011117113D. Kim27441181
LAug 13 · 03:35Y. Sokoltsov1945100D. Kim341111123
WAug 11 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov50111189113D. Kim4195111152
Y. Sokoltsov10
LSep 14 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.67119511113Y. Sokoltsov2.1091111182WSep 13 · 23:35S. Pitsyk1.806790Y. Sokoltsov1.911111113LSep 13 · 22:05Y. Sokoltsov2.6314550H. Kulishov1.441611113WSep 10 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.401111157113M. Skliar2.7576171192WSep 10 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov1.91912211113Y. Stepanchuk1.80111011792WSep 10 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov2.631012911113H. Kulishov1.44121011982LSep 9 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov1.506850M. Fomin2.501111113LSep 9 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov1.8091390D. Kim1.911115113LSep 8 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi1.571412113Y. Sokoltsov2.25121060LSep 8 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.6111711472D. Us2.20611211113
D. Kim10
WSep 14 · 02:35D. Kim1.5361111113M. Skliar2.38116751WSep 13 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.733870D. Kim2.001111113WSep 13 · 21:35S. Pitsyk1.501211461D. Kim2.50101311113WSep 11 · 04:05M. Skliar2.009650D. Kim1.731111113LSep 11 · 02:35D. Kim2.20381181A. Peretiatko1.6111119113WSep 11 · 24:35M. Fomin2.2081171132D. Kim1.61117114113WSep 10 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.738930D. Kim2.001111113WSep 10 · 21:35H. Kulishov1.839111171D. Kim1.8311713113LSep 10 · 03:35Y. Stepanchuk1.8011118113D. Kim1.91571181WSep 9 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov1.8091390D. Kim1.911115113
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