TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122273
Played Sep 13Finished
Serhii Pitsyk
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
12101113411611––
Dmitriy Kim
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:22 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeSerhii Pitsyk to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Pitsyk above · Dmitriy Kim below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 78 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Serhii Pitsyk at 62.9%
78 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Pitsyk 51–29 Dmitriy Kim Dmitriy Kim has won 29 of their 80 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:22What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Pitsyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
51-29 in 80
Pitsyk
Wrong
gap of 22 in 80, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pitsyk 1588 vs Kim 1545
Pitsyk
Wrong
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pitsyk 60% vs Kim 80%
Kim
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pitsyk 60% vs Kim 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pitsyk +3 · Kim +1
Pitsyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Pitsyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kim form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPitsyk 1.50 / Kim 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Pitsyk)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13122273
Pitsyk1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 112 of 189
Up 2–0, closes it96% 54 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it79% 81 of 102
Kim2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog44% won 131 of 296
Down 0–1, comes back34% 65 of 190
Down 0–2, comes back9% 9 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePitsyk6wins
AwayKim4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPitsyk leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePitsyk71.4%5 of 7
AwayKim66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pitsyk7Kim3n = 10Pitsyk took 7 of 10
S2Pitsyk7Kim3n = 10Pitsyk took 7 of 10
S3Pitsyk4Kim6n = 10Kim took 6 of 10
S4Pitsyk4Kim1n = 5Pitsyk took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPitsykKimP − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.534.4+2.1per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPitsykKimBasisWin rate · lifetime321 / 594 vs 488 / 101254%48.2%321 / 594 vs 488 / 1012Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PitsykPitsyk 1.50/Kim 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.9%
Pitsyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kim won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 21:35S. Pitsyk4213571162D. Kim521111118113
WSep 4 · 02:35S. Pitsyk4411139113D. Kim347111151
WAug 31 · 01:05S. Pitsyk3961111113D. Kim32115971
LAug 23 · 21:35S. Pitsyk2613760D. Kim371511113
WAug 9 · 23:35S. Pitsyk341111123D. Kim2798100
LAug 2 · 21:05S. Pitsyk2410770D. Kim341211113
WJul 31 · 24:05S. Pitsyk331111113D. Kim206860
WJul 27 · 24:05S. Pitsyk381611113D. Kim2914690
WJul 6 · 03:35S. Pitsyk4111118113D. Kim27481141
LJul 2 · 22:35S. Pitsyk4412119572D. Kim521091111113
S. Pitsyk10
WSep 9 · 04:05S. Pitsyk1.44111210113D. Us2.637101241WSep 9 · 02:05S. Khandetskyi1.831181141S. Pitsyk1.8313116113WSep 9 · 24:05D. Rehotun1.9177111192S. Pitsyk1.80111187113LSep 8 · 23:05S. Pitsyk1.83911981O. Naida1.8311911113LSep 8 · 22:05K. Hrynenko1.441111113S. Pitsyk2.636740WSep 7 · 03:05Y. Stepanchuk2.75912101142S. Pitsyk1.401110125113WSep 7 · 02:05S. Pitsyk1.911111113H. Kulishov1.806880LSep 7 · 01:05S. Pitsyk1.61135941A. Peretiatko2.20111111113WSep 6 · 23:35S. Pitsyk1.2891111113M. Skliar3.50119431LSep 6 · 21:35S. Pitsyk1.5013571162D. Kim2.501111118113
D. Kim10
WSep 13 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.733870D. Kim2.001111113WSep 11 · 04:05M. Skliar2.009650D. Kim1.731111113LSep 11 · 02:35D. Kim2.20381181A. Peretiatko1.6111119113WSep 11 · 24:35M. Fomin2.2081171132D. Kim1.61117114113WSep 10 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.738930D. Kim2.001111113WSep 10 · 21:35H. Kulishov1.839111171D. Kim1.8311713113LSep 10 · 03:35Y. Stepanchuk1.8011118113D. Kim1.91571181LSep 10 · 02:35M. Fomin2.20861111113D. Kim1.6111118992WSep 10 · 01:05M. Skliar2.501210111182D. Kim1.50141299113WSep 6 · 21:35S. Pitsyk1.5013571162D. Kim2.501111118113
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