TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126591
Played Sep 14Finished
Andrii Peretiatko
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
511119119116––
Pavlo Ishchyk
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:26 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timePavlo Ishchyk to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Peretiatko above · Pavlo Ishchyk below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 73 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Pavlo Ishchyk at 58.9%
73 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Peretiatko 0–1 Pavlo Ishchyk Andrii Peretiatko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:26What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Ishchyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Peretiatko 1448 vs Ishchyk 1346
Peretiatko
Correct
both rated, 103 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Peretiatko 40% vs Ishchyk 20%
Peretiatko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Peretiatko 30% vs Ishchyk 10%
Peretiatko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Peretiatko -3 · Ishchyk +1
Peretiatko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Ishchyk) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ishchyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPeretiatko 2.25 / Ishchyk 1.57
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Ishchyk)-4.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13126591
Peretiatko2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 85 of 214
Down 0–1, comes back20% 23 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 72
Ishchyk1.57
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 13 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it69% 9 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePeretiatko0wins
AwayIshchyk1wins
Ishchyk leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricPeretiatkoIshchykP − IBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match18.033.0−15.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPeretiatkoIshchykBasisWin rate · lifetime358 / 771 vs 53 / 15646.4%34%358 / 771 vs 53 / 156Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IshchykPeretiatko 2.25/Ishchyk 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Ishchyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Peretiatko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJun 18 · 19:25A. Peretiatko188730P. Ishchyk331111113
A. Peretiatko10
LSep 14 · 16:25A. Peretiatko1.677790D. Kim2.101111113LSep 14 · 14:55A. Peretiatko1.676650M. Fomin2.101111113LSep 14 · 13:25A. Peretiatko1.4091140M. Skliar2.751113113WSep 11 · 03:35M. Fomin1.837790A. Peretiatko1.831111113WSep 11 · 02:35D. Kim2.20381181A. Peretiatko1.6111119113LSep 11 · 01:05H. Kulishov1.501011118113A. Peretiatko2.5012751162LSep 10 · 23:05M. Skliar2.75611711123A. Peretiatko1.40115118102LSep 10 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.83111284113A. Peretiatko1.83610111192WSep 8 · 04:05D. Us1.671061171A. Peretiatko2.1012118113LSep 8 · 02:35A. Peretiatko1.67101480M. Fomin2.101216113
P. Ishchyk10
WSep 14 · 16:55P. Ishchyk1.9161111113M. Fomin1.80116861LSep 14 · 15:55M. Polysynskyi1.611111113P. Ishchyk2.208790LSep 14 · 14:25P. Ishchyk2.0011512992D. Kim1.739111011113LSep 7 · 19:25O. Melashenko1.401111113P. Ishchyk2.757990LSep 7 · 18:25P. Ishchyk3.25116611102O. Naida1.33711119123LSep 7 · 17:25P. Ishchyk2.20831191H. Kulishov1.6111115113LSep 7 · 15:55P. Ishchyk1.831159121V. Kobets1.8361111143LSep 7 · 13:55P. Ishchyk1.83117771S. Khandetskyi1.8371111113LAug 25 · 19:55P. Ishchyk1.80612851Y. Stepanchuk1.91111011113LAug 25 · 17:55O. Melashenko1.531111113P. Ishchyk2.387960
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