TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126935
Played Sep 14Finished
Andrii Peretiatko
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9111113411––––
Mykhailo Skliar
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:17 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeAndrii Peretiatko to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Peretiatko above · Mykhailo Skliar below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 59 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Andrii Peretiatko at 66.9%
59 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Peretiatko 4–1 Mykhailo Skliar Mykhailo Skliar has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:17What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Peretiatko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Peretiatko
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Peretiatko 1502 vs Skliar 1318
Peretiatko
Wrong
both rated, 185 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Peretiatko 40% vs Skliar 0%
Peretiatko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Peretiatko 40% vs Skliar 20%
Peretiatko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Peretiatko +2 · Skliar -5
Skliar
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Peretiatko) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skliar form (0%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPeretiatko 1.40 / Skliar 2.75
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Peretiatko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13126935
Peretiatko1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 70 of 122
Up 2–0, closes it89% 39 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it71% 54 of 76
Skliar2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog25% won 17 of 68
Down 0–1, comes back19% 8 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomePeretiatko4wins
AwaySkliar1wins
1 of 5 to a deciderPeretiatko leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePeretiatko66.7%2 of 3
AwaySkliarn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Peretiatko3Skliar2n = 5Peretiatko took 3 of 5
S2Peretiatko4Skliar1n = 5Peretiatko took 4 of 5
S3Peretiatko5Skliar0n = 5Peretiatko took 5 of 5
S4Peretiatko2Skliar1n = 3Peretiatko took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricPeretiatkoSkliarP − SBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match40.033.4+6.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPeretiatkoSkliarBasisWin rate · lifetime364 / 778 vs 61 / 12946.8%47.3%364 / 778 vs 61 / 129Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PeretiatkoPeretiatko 1.40/Skliar 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.7%
Peretiatko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Skliar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 10 · 23:05A. Peretiatko45115118102M. Skliar47611711123
WSep 7 · 03:35A. Peretiatko331111113M. Skliar239770
WSep 1 · 04:05A. Peretiatko44101211113M. Skliar371210781
WAug 28 · 24:35A. Peretiatko45101113113M. Skliar391291171
WAug 25 · 03:05A. Peretiatko331111113M. Skliar219930
A. Peretiatko10
WSep 11 · 03:35M. Fomin1.837790A. Peretiatko1.831111113WSep 11 · 02:35D. Kim2.20381181A. Peretiatko1.6111119113LSep 11 · 01:05H. Kulishov1.501011118113A. Peretiatko2.5012751162LSep 10 · 23:05M. Skliar2.75611711123A. Peretiatko1.40115118102LSep 10 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.83111284113A. Peretiatko1.83610111192WSep 8 · 04:05D. Us1.671061171A. Peretiatko2.1012118113LSep 8 · 02:35A. Peretiatko1.67101480M. Fomin2.101216113LSep 8 · 24:35D. Kim2.0021111113A. Peretiatko1.73113291WSep 7 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.83811131042A. Peretiatko1.831161112113LSep 7 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.207690
M. Skliar10
LSep 14 · 03:35Y. Sokoltsov1.5051112113M. Skliar2.501171071LSep 14 · 02:35D. Kim1.5361111113M. Skliar2.38116751LSep 14 · 01:05S. Pitsyk1.281711113M. Skliar3.5015680LSep 13 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.28111110113M. Skliar3.50661271LSep 13 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.831111113M. Skliar1.834870LSep 11 · 04:05M. Skliar2.009650D. Kim1.731111113LSep 11 · 02:05H. Kulishov1.2211711113M. Skliar4.00611961WSep 11 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi1.5751111772M. Skliar2.25118911113WSep 10 · 23:05M. Skliar2.75611711123A. Peretiatko1.40115118102LSep 10 · 22:05M. Fomin1.671111113M. Skliar2.106370
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