TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122250
Played Sep 14Finished
Serhii Pitsyk
Home
1.29
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1715116118––––
Mykhailo Skliar
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:12 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeSerhii Pitsyk to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Pitsyk above · Mykhailo Skliar below
Set 1 · 17-15
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 68 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Serhii Pitsyk at 56.7%
68 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Pitsyk 1–0 Mykhailo Skliar Mykhailo Skliar has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:12What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Pitsyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Pitsyk 1543 vs Skliar 1336
Pitsyk
Correct
both rated, 207 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pitsyk 60% vs Skliar 20%
Pitsyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pitsyk 50% vs Skliar 20%
Pitsyk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pitsyk -2 · Skliar -4
Skliar
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Pitsyk) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pitsyk form (60%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPitsyk 1.28 / Skliar 3.50
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Pitsyk)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13122250
Pitsyk1.28
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 112 of 189
Up 2–0, closes it96% 54 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it79% 81 of 102
Skliar3.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog27% won 17 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back20% 8 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePitsyk1wins
AwaySkliar0wins
Pitsyk leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPitsykSkliarP − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match42.027.0+15.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPitsykSkliarBasisWin rate · lifetime316 / 586 vs 61 / 12653.9%48.4%316 / 586 vs 61 / 126Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PitsykPitsyk 1.28/Skliar 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.9%
Pitsyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pitsyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 6 · 23:35S. Pitsyk4291111113M. Skliar27119431
S. Pitsyk10
LSep 14 · 02:05S. Pitsyk1.8371181232H. Kulishov1.831191110113LSep 13 · 23:35S. Pitsyk1.806790Y. Sokoltsov1.911111113LSep 13 · 21:35S. Pitsyk1.501211461D. Kim2.50101311113WSep 9 · 04:05S. Pitsyk1.44111210113D. Us2.637101241WSep 9 · 02:05S. Khandetskyi1.831181141S. Pitsyk1.8313116113WSep 9 · 24:05D. Rehotun1.9177111192S. Pitsyk1.80111187113LSep 8 · 23:05S. Pitsyk1.83911981O. Naida1.8311911113LSep 8 · 22:05K. Hrynenko1.441111113S. Pitsyk2.636740WSep 7 · 03:05Y. Stepanchuk2.75912101142S. Pitsyk1.401110125113WSep 7 · 02:05S. Pitsyk1.911111113H. Kulishov1.806880
M. Skliar10
LSep 14 · 02:35D. Kim1.5361111113M. Skliar2.38116751LSep 13 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.28111110113M. Skliar3.50661271LSep 13 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.831111113M. Skliar1.834870LSep 11 · 04:05M. Skliar2.009650D. Kim1.731111113LSep 11 · 02:05H. Kulishov1.2211711113M. Skliar4.00611961WSep 11 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi1.5751111772M. Skliar2.25118911113WSep 10 · 23:05M. Skliar2.75611711123A. Peretiatko1.40115118102LSep 10 · 22:05M. Fomin1.671111113M. Skliar2.106370LSep 10 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.401111157113M. Skliar2.7576171192LSep 10 · 02:05M. Skliar4.009190H. Kulishov1.221111113
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