TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13121840
Played Sep 14Finished
Yevhenii Sokoltsov
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
5111171210117––
Mykhailo Skliar
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:48 and never touched — 63.6% is still 63.6%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Sokoltsov to win
63.6%
63.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhenii Sokoltsov above · Mykhailo Skliar below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 74 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Yevhenii Sokoltsov at 63.6%
74 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Sokoltsov 3–0 Mykhailo Skliar Mykhailo Skliar has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:48What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Sokoltsov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Sokoltsov
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokoltsov 1533 vs Skliar 1324
Sokoltsov
Correct
both rated, 210 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokoltsov 60% vs Skliar 0%
Sokoltsov
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokoltsov 50% vs Skliar 20%
Sokoltsov
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokoltsov -1 · Skliar -5
Skliar
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Sokoltsov) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skliar form (0%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokoltsov 1.50 / Skliar 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Sokoltsov)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13121840
Sokoltsov1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite61% won 80 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it96% 46 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it77% 62 of 81
Skliar2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog27% won 17 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back20% 8 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSokoltsov3wins
AwaySkliar0wins
2 of 3 to a deciderSokoltsov leads 3–0, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokoltsov2Skliar1n = 3Sokoltsov took 2 of 3
S2Sokoltsov3Skliar0n = 3Sokoltsov took 3 of 3
S3Sokoltsov1Skliar2n = 3Skliar took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home267%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSokoltsovSkliarSokoltsov − SkliarBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match45.739.3+6.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokoltsovSkliarBasisWin rate · lifetime256 / 524 vs 61 / 12848.9%47.7%256 / 524 vs 61 / 128Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SokoltsovSokoltsov 1.50/Skliar 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Sokoltsov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sokoltsov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 10 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov551111157113M. Skliar5076171192
WSep 3 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov491011611113M. Skliar4512711962
WAug 25 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov331111113M. Skliar237790
Y. Sokoltsov10
LSep 14 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.67119511113Y. Sokoltsov2.1091111182WSep 14 · 24:35Y. Sokoltsov1.7391111123D. Kim2.001184101WSep 13 · 23:35S. Pitsyk1.806790Y. Sokoltsov1.911111113LSep 13 · 22:05Y. Sokoltsov2.6314550H. Kulishov1.441611113WSep 10 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.401111157113M. Skliar2.7576171192WSep 10 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov1.91912211113Y. Stepanchuk1.80111011792WSep 10 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov2.631012911113H. Kulishov1.44121011982LSep 9 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov1.506850M. Fomin2.501111113LSep 9 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov1.8091390D. Kim1.911115113LSep 8 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi1.571412113Y. Sokoltsov2.25121060
M. Skliar10
LSep 14 · 02:35D. Kim1.5361111113M. Skliar2.38116751LSep 14 · 01:05S. Pitsyk1.281711113M. Skliar3.5015680LSep 13 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.28111110113M. Skliar3.50661271LSep 13 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.831111113M. Skliar1.834870LSep 11 · 04:05M. Skliar2.009650D. Kim1.731111113LSep 11 · 02:05H. Kulishov1.2211711113M. Skliar4.00611961WSep 11 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi1.5751111772M. Skliar2.25118911113WSep 10 · 23:05M. Skliar2.75611711123A. Peretiatko1.40115118102LSep 10 · 22:05M. Fomin1.671111113M. Skliar2.106370LSep 10 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.401111157113M. Skliar2.7576171192
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