TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126951
Played Sep 14Finished
Andrii Peretiatko
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711711911––––
Dmitriy Kim
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndrii Peretiatko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Peretiatko above · Dmitriy Kim below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 56 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Andrii Peretiatko at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Peretiatko 102–68 Dmitriy Kim Dmitriy Kim has won 68 of their 170 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:17What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Peretiatko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
102-68 in 170
Peretiatko
Wrong
gap of 34 in 170, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Peretiatko 1458 vs Kim 1584
Kim
Correct
both rated, 126 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Peretiatko 40% vs Kim 80%
Kim
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Peretiatko 30% vs Kim 80%
Kim
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Peretiatko -2 · Kim +4
Kim
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Peretiatko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kim form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPeretiatko 1.67 / Kim 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Peretiatko)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13126951
Peretiatko1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 70 of 122
Up 2–0, closes it89% 39 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it71% 54 of 76
Kim2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 133 of 299
Down 0–1, comes back34% 65 of 190
Down 0–2, comes back9% 9 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePeretiatko6wins
AwayKim4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPeretiatko leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePeretiatko66.7%4 of 6
AwayKim50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Peretiatko6Kim4n = 10Peretiatko took 6 of 10
S2Peretiatko4Kim6n = 10Kim took 6 of 10
S3Peretiatko7Kim3n = 10Peretiatko took 7 of 10
S4Peretiatko5Kim3n = 8Peretiatko took 5 of 8
S5Peretiatko2Kim3n = 5Kim took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPeretiatkoKimP − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.539.3+3.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPeretiatkoKimBasisWin rate · lifetime358 / 770 vs 492 / 101446.5%48.5%358 / 770 vs 492 / 1014Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PeretiatkoPeretiatko 1.67/Kim 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Peretiatko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kim won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 10 · 03:05A. Peretiatko3014880D. Kim381611113
LAug 7 · 04:05A. Peretiatko3911671142D. Kim43211118113
LAug 6 · 02:35A. Peretiatko50911119102D. Kim50117911123
WAug 3 · 23:05A. Peretiatko4671111173D. Kim351145151
LJul 31 · 03:05A. Peretiatko4411811682D. Kim38311211113
WJul 28 · 03:35A. Peretiatko331111113D. Kim206770
WJul 23 · 22:05A. Peretiatko51126913113D. Kim511011111182
WJul 20 · 02:35A. Peretiatko47118115123D. Kim49811911102
WJul 7 · 24:35A. Peretiatko4291111113D. Kim32119571
WJul 3 · 02:35A. Peretiatko4311911123D. Kim379117101
A. Peretiatko10
LSep 14 · 14:55A. Peretiatko1.676650M. Fomin2.101111113LSep 14 · 13:25A. Peretiatko1.4091140M. Skliar2.751113113WSep 11 · 03:35M. Fomin1.837790A. Peretiatko1.831111113WSep 11 · 02:35D. Kim2.20381181A. Peretiatko1.6111119113LSep 11 · 01:05H. Kulishov1.501011118113A. Peretiatko2.5012751162LSep 10 · 23:05M. Skliar2.75611711123A. Peretiatko1.40115118102LSep 10 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.83111284113A. Peretiatko1.83610111192WSep 8 · 04:05D. Us1.671061171A. Peretiatko2.1012118113LSep 8 · 02:35A. Peretiatko1.67101480M. Fomin2.101216113LSep 8 · 24:35D. Kim2.0021111113A. Peretiatko1.73113291
D. Kim10
WSep 14 · 15:25D. Kim1.44911911113M. Skliar2.6311311882WSep 14 · 14:25P. Ishchyk2.0011512992D. Kim1.739111011113WSep 14 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.80111080D. Kim1.911312113WSep 14 · 02:35D. Kim1.5361111113M. Skliar2.38116751LSep 14 · 24:35Y. Sokoltsov1.7391111123D. Kim2.001184101WSep 13 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.733870D. Kim2.001111113WSep 13 · 21:35S. Pitsyk1.501211461D. Kim2.50101311113WSep 11 · 04:05M. Skliar2.009650D. Kim1.731111113LSep 11 · 02:35D. Kim2.20381181A. Peretiatko1.6111119113WSep 8 · 24:35D. Kim2.0021111113A. Peretiatko1.73113291
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