TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13127463
Played Sep 14Finished
Dmitriy Kim
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911113911118118
Mykhailo Skliar
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:24 and never touched — 65.2% is still 65.2%
Graded at full timeDmitriy Kim to win
65.2%
65.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmitriy Kim above · Mykhailo Skliar below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 92 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Dmitriy Kim at 65.2%
92 points played in total.
H2H Dmitriy Kim 7–1 Mykhailo Skliar Mykhailo Skliar has won 1 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:24What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kim
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-1 in 8
Kim
Correct
gap of 6 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kim 1579 vs Skliar 1339
Kim
Correct
both rated, 240 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kim 80% vs Skliar 20%
Kim
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kim 80% vs Skliar 30%
Kim
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kim +3 · Skliar +1
Kim
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Kim) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skliar form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKim 1.44 / Skliar 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Kim)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13127463
Kim1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 65 of 106
Up 2–0, closes it90% 28 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it79% 44 of 56
Skliar2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog25% won 17 of 68
Down 0–1, comes back19% 8 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKim7wins
AwaySkliar1wins
2 of 8 to a deciderKim leads 7–1, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKim80%4 of 5
AwaySkliar0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kim5Skliar3n = 8Kim took 5 of 8
S2Kim7Skliar1n = 8Kim took 7 of 8
S3Kim5Skliar3n = 8Kim took 5 of 8
S4Kim3Skliar3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home338%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricKimSkliarK − SBasisWins71+6in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match40.933.6+7.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKimSkliarBasisWin rate · lifetime491 / 1013 vs 62 / 13048.5%47.7%491 / 1013 vs 62 / 130Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KimKim 1.44/Skliar 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.9%
Kim · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kim won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 14 · 02:35D. Kim3961111113M. Skliar29116751
WSep 11 · 04:05D. Kim331111113M. Skliar209650
WSep 10 · 01:05D. Kim55141299113M. Skliar521210111182
WSep 7 · 24:35D. Kim44121110113M. Skliar381081281
WSep 3 · 04:05D. Kim331111113M. Skliar196670
WAug 31 · 23:05D. Kim46513116113M. Skliar46111191142
WAug 28 · 02:35D. Kim44111111113M. Skliar27137431
LAug 25 · 01:35D. Kim331110841M. Skliar3841211113
D. Kim10
WSep 14 · 14:25P. Ishchyk2.0011512992D. Kim1.739111011113WSep 14 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.80111080D. Kim1.911312113WSep 14 · 02:35D. Kim1.5361111113M. Skliar2.38116751LSep 14 · 24:35Y. Sokoltsov1.7391111123D. Kim2.001184101WSep 13 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.733870D. Kim2.001111113WSep 13 · 21:35S. Pitsyk1.501211461D. Kim2.50101311113WSep 11 · 04:05M. Skliar2.009650D. Kim1.731111113LSep 11 · 02:35D. Kim2.20381181A. Peretiatko1.6111119113WSep 11 · 24:35M. Fomin2.2081171132D. Kim1.61117114113WSep 10 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.738930D. Kim2.001111113
M. Skliar10
WSep 14 · 13:25A. Peretiatko1.4091140M. Skliar2.751113113LSep 14 · 03:35Y. Sokoltsov1.5051112113M. Skliar2.501171071LSep 14 · 02:35D. Kim1.5361111113M. Skliar2.38116751LSep 14 · 01:05S. Pitsyk1.281711113M. Skliar3.5015680LSep 13 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.28111110113M. Skliar3.50661271LSep 13 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.831111113M. Skliar1.834870LSep 11 · 04:05M. Skliar2.009650D. Kim1.731111113LSep 11 · 02:05H. Kulishov1.2211711113M. Skliar4.00611961WSep 11 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi1.5751111772M. Skliar2.25118911113WSep 10 · 23:05M. Skliar2.75611711123A. Peretiatko1.40115118102
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