TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13121896
Played Sep 14Finished
Hryhorii Kulishov
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 7
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
11131012811––––
Dmitriy Kim
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeHryhorii Kulishov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingHryhorii Kulishov above · Dmitriy Kim below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 65 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Hryhorii Kulishov at 54.0%
65 points played in total.
H2H Hryhorii Kulishov 101–111 Dmitriy Kim Hryhorii Kulishov has won 101 of their 212 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:59What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kulishov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
101-111 in 212
Kim
Correct
gap of 10 in 212, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kulishov 1575 vs Kim 1559
Kulishov
Wrong
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulishov 100% vs Kim 80%
Kulishov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulishov 70% vs Kim 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulishov +5 · Kim +1
Kulishov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kulishov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kim form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulishov 1.80 / Kim 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kulishov)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13121896
Kulishov1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 176 of 279
Up 2–0, closes it96% 101 of 105
Up 1–0, closes it74% 134 of 180
Kim1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 131 of 296
Down 0–1, comes back34% 65 of 190
Down 0–2, comes back9% 9 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKulishov5wins
AwayKim5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulishov66.7%4 of 6
AwayKim75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulishov6Kim4n = 10Kulishov took 6 of 10
S2Kulishov6Kim4n = 10Kulishov took 6 of 10
S3Kulishov3Kim7n = 10Kim took 7 of 10
S4Kulishov5Kim4n = 9Kulishov took 5 of 9
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKulishovKimKulishov − KimBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.037.9+1.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulishovKimBasisWin rate · lifetime486 / 940 vs 489 / 101151.7%48.4%486 / 940 vs 489 / 1011Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulishovKulishov 1.80/Kim 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kulishov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kim won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 21:35H. Kulishov389111171D. Kim4211713113
WSep 9 · 23:05H. Kulishov4291111113D. Kim34117881
WSep 7 · 04:05H. Kulishov4611119153D. Kim346411131
LSep 3 · 21:05H. Kulishov35117981D. Kim4181111113
LSep 3 · 02:35H. Kulishov3911211692D. Kim46911411113
WSep 1 · 01:05H. Kulishov3911611113D. Kim36711991
LAug 31 · 02:05H. Kulishov345118101D. Kim4311911123
LAug 27 · 23:05H. Kulishov32913100D. Kim381115123
WAug 20 · 23:05H. Kulishov4211119113D. Kim31941171
WAug 19 · 16:55H. Kulishov4311116153D. Kim344611131
H. Kulishov10
WSep 14 · 02:05S. Pitsyk1.8371181232H. Kulishov1.831191110113WSep 14 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi2.50851151H. Kulishov1.5011118113WSep 13 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.28111110113M. Skliar3.50661271WSep 13 · 22:05Y. Sokoltsov2.6314550H. Kulishov1.441611113WSep 11 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi2.2512530H. Kulishov1.571411113WSep 11 · 02:05H. Kulishov1.2211711113M. Skliar4.00611961WSep 11 · 01:05H. Kulishov1.501011118113A. Peretiatko2.5012751162LSep 10 · 23:35H. Kulishov1.80713871M. Fomin1.91111111113LSep 10 · 21:35H. Kulishov1.839111171D. Kim1.8311713113LSep 10 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.83111191262M. Fomin1.83461114113
D. Kim10
WSep 14 · 02:35D. Kim1.5361111113M. Skliar2.38116751LSep 14 · 24:35Y. Sokoltsov1.7391111123D. Kim2.001184101WSep 13 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.733870D. Kim2.001111113WSep 13 · 21:35S. Pitsyk1.501211461D. Kim2.50101311113WSep 11 · 04:05M. Skliar2.009650D. Kim1.731111113LSep 11 · 02:35D. Kim2.20381181A. Peretiatko1.6111119113WSep 11 · 24:35M. Fomin2.2081171132D. Kim1.61117114113WSep 10 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.738930D. Kim2.001111113WSep 10 · 21:35H. Kulishov1.839111171D. Kim1.8311713113LSep 10 · 03:35Y. Stepanchuk1.8011118113D. Kim1.91571181
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