TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126941
Played Sep 14Finished
Pavlo Ishchyk
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911119511116115
Mykhailo Skliar
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Skliar to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPavlo Ishchyk above · Mykhailo Skliar below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 89 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Mykhailo Skliar at 54.0%
89 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:17What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Ishchyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Ishchyk 1337 vs Skliar 1342
Skliar
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ishchyk 20% vs Skliar 40%
Skliar
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ishchyk 10% vs Skliar 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ishchyk -1 · Skliar +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ishchyk) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ishchyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIshchyk 1.73 / Skliar 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Ishchyk)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13126941
Ishchyk1.73
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 13 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it69% 9 of 13
Skliar2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog25% won 17 of 68
Down 0–1, comes back19% 8 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricIshchykSkliarBasisWin rate · lifetime53 / 157 vs 63 / 13333.8%47.4%53 / 157 vs 63 / 133Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IshchykIshchyk 1.73/Skliar 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Ishchyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Ishchyk won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
P. Ishchyk10
LSep 14 · 17:55A. Peretiatko2.2551111113P. Ishchyk1.57119961WSep 14 · 16:55P. Ishchyk1.9161111113M. Fomin1.80116861LSep 14 · 15:55M. Polysynskyi1.611111113P. Ishchyk2.208790LSep 14 · 14:25P. Ishchyk2.0011512992D. Kim1.739111011113LSep 7 · 19:25O. Melashenko1.401111113P. Ishchyk2.757990LSep 7 · 18:25P. Ishchyk3.25116611102O. Naida1.33711119123LSep 7 · 17:25P. Ishchyk2.20831191H. Kulishov1.6111115113LSep 7 · 15:55P. Ishchyk1.831159121V. Kobets1.8361111143LSep 7 · 13:55P. Ishchyk1.83117771S. Khandetskyi1.8371111113LAug 25 · 19:55P. Ishchyk1.80612851Y. Stepanchuk1.91111011113
M. Skliar10
WSep 14 · 18:55M. Fomin1.441512111M. Skliar2.63111110133LSep 14 · 17:25M. Polysynskyi1.571111173M. Skliar2.2546150LSep 14 · 15:25D. Kim1.44911911113M. Skliar2.6311311882WSep 14 · 13:25A. Peretiatko1.4091140M. Skliar2.751113113LSep 14 · 03:35Y. Sokoltsov1.5051112113M. Skliar2.501171071LSep 14 · 02:35D. Kim1.5361111113M. Skliar2.38116751LSep 14 · 01:05S. Pitsyk1.281711113M. Skliar3.5015680LSep 13 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.28111110113M. Skliar3.50661271LSep 13 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.831111113M. Skliar1.834870LSep 11 · 04:05M. Skliar2.009650D. Kim1.731111113
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