TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13135627
Played Sep 16Finished
Jaroslav Strnad 1961
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
511211114116117
Cesta Havrda
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:56 and never touched — 62.8% is still 62.8%
Graded at full timeCesta Havrda to win
62.8%
62.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJaroslav Strnad 1961 above · Cesta Havrda below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 79 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Cesta Havrda at 62.8%
79 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Strnad 1961 14–29 Cesta Havrda Jaroslav Strnad 1961 has won 14 of their 43 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:56What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Havrda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-29 in 43
Havrda
Wrong
gap of 15 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strnad 1033 vs Havrda 1040
Havrda
Wrong
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strnad 20% vs Havrda 60%
Havrda
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strnad 30% vs Havrda 50%
Havrda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Strnad -2 · Havrda -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Havrda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strnad form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrnad 2.38 / Havrda 1.53
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Havrda)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13135627
Strnad2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog28% won 26 of 94
Down 0–1, comes back15% 10 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 39
Havrda1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 24 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it75% 15 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrnad2wins
AwayHavrda8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHavrda leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrnadn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayHavrda77.8%7 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strnad1Havrda9n = 10Havrda took 9 of 10
S2Strnad6Havrda4n = 10Strnad took 6 of 10
S3Strnad3Havrda7n = 10Havrda took 7 of 10
S4Strnad4Havrda4n = 8split evenly
S5Strnad1Havrda3n = 4Havrda took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrnadHavrdaS − HBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match37.144.9−7.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrnadHavrdaBasisWin rate · lifetime147 / 361 vs 104 / 24540.7%42.5%147 / 361 vs 104 / 245Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.537.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HavrdaStrnad 2.38/Havrda 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.8%
Havrda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Strnad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 25 · 11:00J. Strnad51912121442C. Havrda5811101016113
WAug 24 · 12:00J. Strnad3631111113C. Havrda33118591
LAug 12 · 07:00J. Strnad2011540C. Havrda351311113
LJul 22 · 13:02J. Strnad357116111C. Havrda4411911133
WJul 22 · 11:30J. Strnad495111111113C. Havrda4611813772
LJul 21 · 06:00J. Strnad4741132362C. Havrda621181121113
LJun 30 · 10:00J. Strnad32681171C. Havrda4111118113
LJun 10 · 08:00J. Strnad35811971C. Havrda4211911113
LJun 9 · 13:05J. Strnad198650C. Havrda331111113
LJun 9 · 10:00J. Strnad4711771662C. Havrda558111114113
J. Strnad10
LSep 16 · 10:00L. Novotny1.57711116113J. Strnad2.2511141132LSep 11 · 17:00J. Hyrsl1.5011115113J. Strnad2.45871181WSep 11 · 16:30J. Strnad2.3811912113R. Buric1.537111071LSep 11 · 15:00J. Strnad2.504690J. Hyrsl1.501111113LSep 11 · 14:00M. Vaclavik1.6181111123J. Strnad2.201198101WSep 10 · 12:59J. Strnad2.201151015113L. Novotny1.61911121352LSep 10 · 12:00J. Strnad3.40811871J. Cernik1.3011511113WSep 10 · 11:30L. Novotny1.50711714102J. Strnad2.501151112123LSep 10 · 10:00J. Strnad3.006880M. Smesny1.361111113LSep 4 · 02:00J. Strnad3.00161013972J. Cernik1.3614121111113
C. Havrda10
LSep 16 · 12:00L. Novotny1.531211113C. Havrda2.3810450LSep 16 · 10:30C. Havrda2.639840J. Cernik1.441111113WSep 9 · 13:30P. Serak1.4611760C. Havrda2.371311113WSep 9 · 12:00C. Havrda2.001311113P. Petr1.7311890WSep 9 · 11:30J. Stary1.67118391C. Havrda2.1091111113LSep 9 · 10:00C. Havrda2.2511811632P. Serak1.57811311113LSep 1 · 12:59C. Havrda3.759780A. Hejduk1.251111113LSep 1 · 12:00C. Havrda2.509540J. Cernik1.501111113WSep 1 · 11:30A. Hejduk1.2071111772C. Havrda4.33116411113LSep 1 · 10:00C. Havrda2.209111081Z. Kasinski1.6111712113
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