TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13108749
Played Sep 11Finished
Jaroslav Strnad 1961
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1179111210117––
Roman Buric
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:05 and never touched — 59.2% is still 59.2%
Graded at full timeRoman Buric to win
59.2%
59.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJaroslav Strnad 1961 above · Roman Buric below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 78 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Roman Buric at 59.2%
78 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Strnad 1961 3–4 Roman Buric Jaroslav Strnad 1961 has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:05What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Buric
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strnad 1038 vs Buric 1103
Buric
Wrong
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strnad 40% vs Buric 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strnad 20% vs Buric 50%
Buric
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Strnad -2 · Buric -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Buric) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buric form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrnad 2.38 / Buric 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Buric)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13108749
Strnad2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog28% won 26 of 92
Down 0–1, comes back17% 11 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 37
Buric1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeStrnad3wins
AwayBuric4wins
5 of 7 to a deciderBuric leads 4–3, and 5 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrnadn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayBuric66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strnad1Buric6n = 7Buric took 6 of 7
S2Strnad5Buric2n = 7Strnad took 5 of 7
S3Strnad4Buric3n = 7Strnad took 4 of 7
S4Strnad3Buric2n = 5Strnad took 3 of 5
S5Strnad2Buric3n = 5Buric took 3 of 5
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away343%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricStrnadBuricS − BBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set16−5of 7Avg pointsper match40.342.1−1.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrnadBuricBasisWin rate · lifetime146 / 358 vs 28 / 7140.8%39.4%146 / 358 vs 28 / 71Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.536.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuricStrnad 2.38/Buric 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.2%
Buric · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Strnad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WMay 17 · 06:00J. Strnad—411119113R. Buric—11791192
LJan 11 · 09:30J. Strnad—710111162R. Buric—111263113
WJan 10 · 16:30J. Strnad—811177103R. Buric—115151192
LMar 30 · 13:30J. Strnad—41191182R. Buric—118115113
WMar 30 · 12:30J. Strnad—1111113R. Buric—9860
LJan 12 · 08:00J. Strnad—51161112R. Buric—118118113
LJan 10 · 23:30J. Strnad—12970R. Buric—1411113
J. Strnad10
LSep 11 · 17:00J. Hyrsl1.5011115113J. Strnad2.45871181LSep 11 · 15:00J. Strnad2.504690J. Hyrsl1.501111113LSep 11 · 14:00M. Vaclavik1.6181111123J. Strnad2.201198101WSep 10 · 12:59J. Strnad2.201151015113L. Novotny1.61911121352LSep 10 · 12:00J. Strnad3.40811871J. Cernik1.3011511113WSep 10 · 11:30L. Novotny1.50711714102J. Strnad2.501151112123LSep 10 · 10:00J. Strnad3.006880M. Smesny1.361111113LSep 4 · 02:00J. Strnad3.00161013972J. Cernik1.3614121111113LSep 4 · 01:00J. Strnad1.8339130M. Vaclavik1.831111153LSep 4 · 24:00A. Hejduk1.331211113J. Strnad3.2510830
R. Buric10
LSep 11 · 17:30M. Vaclavik1.58111110113R. Buric2.20991231LSep 11 · 15:30R. Buric3.0011511342M. Vaclavik1.36711911113WSep 11 · 14:30J. Hyrsl1.443511111R. Buric2.6311112133WMay 23 · 13:08M. Hubka1.50961191R. Buric2.5011115113LMay 23 · 12:30J. Cernik1.67914511133R. Buric2.101112115112LMay 23 · 11:30R. Buric2.20611120M. Vaclavik1.611113143LMay 23 · 10:30M. Hubka1.801111113R. Buric1.918270WMay 17 · 09:30L. Novotny3.008190R. Buric1.321111113WMay 17 · 08:00R. Buric1.33511811123L. Novotny3.25116117102WMay 17 · 07:30V. Kubat2.207390R. Buric1.611111113
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