TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13135466
Played Sep 16Finished
Pavel Petr
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611911117911––
Vladimir Kubat
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:28 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timePavel Petr to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPavel Petr above · Vladimir Kubat below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 75 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Pavel Petr at 62.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Petr 5–3 Vladimir Kubat Vladimir Kubat has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:28What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Petr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Petr
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Petr 1125 vs Kubat 1015
Petr
Wrong
both rated, 110 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Petr 40% vs Kubat 0%
Petr
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Petr 50% vs Kubat 20%
Petr
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Petr -3 · Kubat -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Petr) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kubat form (0%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPetr 1.53 / Kubat 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Petr)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13135466
Petr1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 24 of 39
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it78% 18 of 23
Kubat2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog32% won 19 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back24% 8 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomePetr5wins
AwayKubat3wins
4 of 8 to a deciderPetr leads 5–3, and 4 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePetr75%3 of 4
AwayKubat50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Petr4Kubat4n = 8split evenly
S2Petr4Kubat4n = 8split evenly
S3Petr5Kubat3n = 8Petr took 5 of 8
S4Petr1Kubat6n = 7Kubat took 6 of 7
S5Petr4Kubat0n = 4Petr took 4 of 4
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home450%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away338%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricPetrKubatP − KBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match40.541.4−0.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPetrKubatBasisWin rate · lifetime76 / 134 vs 114 / 29156.7%39.2%76 / 134 vs 114 / 291Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.535.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PetrPetr 1.53/Kubat 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.2%
Petr · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kubat won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 16 · 06:00P. Petr35691191V. Kubat4011117113
WAug 18 · 07:00P. Petr44111129113V. Kubat4579111172
WJul 8 · 06:00P. Petr331111113V. Kubat229940
LJun 17 · 07:00P. Petr311151051V. Kubat4171112113
WMay 6 · 08:00P. Petr49811118113V. Kubat4611781192
WMar 11 · 08:00P. Petr48961111113V. Kubat4811119892
LFeb 16 · 10:30P. Petr35981351V. Kubat44111111113
WFeb 16 · 09:30P. Petr49141158113V. Kubat45122111192
P. Petr10
LSep 9 · 12:59P. Petr1.2261181182J. Stary4.00118115113LSep 9 · 12:00C. Havrda2.001311113P. Petr1.7311890LSep 9 · 11:00P. Serak3.0021111113P. Petr1.36114991WSep 9 · 10:30P. Petr1.3351111113J. Stary3.25114381WAug 21 · 08:58P. Petr1.441111113P. Serak2.638490LAug 21 · 08:00A. Tkachenko2.10111111113P. Petr1.67491371LAug 21 · 07:00J. Strnad1.911114113P. Petr1.8061250WAug 21 · 06:30P. Petr1.44881111113P. Serak2.6311118942WAug 18 · 09:30P. Petr1.9111129113J. Strnad1.807101161WAug 18 · 08:30P. Petr1.831611113J. Koch1.8314880
V. Kubat10
LAug 28 · 08:59J. Cernik1.611311113V. Kubat2.2011940LAug 28 · 08:30V. Kubat3.256690L. Novotny1.331111113LAug 28 · 07:00V. Kubat2.388560J. Cernik1.531111113LAug 28 · 06:00A. Tkachenko2.001111123V. Kubat1.7397100LAug 27 · 09:08V. Kubat2.7510750L. Novotny1.401211113LAug 27 · 08:30J. Strnad1.80611911113V. Kubat1.9111811292WAug 27 · 07:30V. Kubat1.831111113A. Tkachenko1.839780LAug 27 · 06:30L. Novotny1.4411113113V. Kubat2.63471151WAug 24 · 12:58C. Havrda1.44681171V. Kubat2.6311115113LAug 24 · 12:30V. Kubat2.636870M. Smesny1.441111113
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