TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131388
Played Sep 15Finished
Yevhenii Sokoltsov
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115115112––––
Serhii Khandetskyi
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:44 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Sokoltsov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhenii Sokoltsov above · Serhii Khandetskyi below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-2
Point 45 set 3, 11-2 — our read held Yevhenii Sokoltsov at 54.0%
45 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Sokoltsov 35–36 Serhii Khandetskyi Yevhenii Sokoltsov has won 35 of their 71 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:44What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Khandetskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-36 in 71
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokoltsov 1534 vs Khandetskyi 1505
Sokoltsov
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokoltsov 60% vs Khandetskyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokoltsov 70% vs Khandetskyi 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokoltsov +1 · Khandetskyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sokoltsov)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokoltsov 1.91 / Khandetskyi 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sokoltsov)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13131388
Sokoltsov1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog37% won 52 of 139
Down 0–1, comes back18% 14 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 48
Khandetskyi1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite50% won 55 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it90% 27 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it69% 40 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSokoltsov4wins
AwayKhandetskyi6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKhandetskyi leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSokoltsov60%3 of 5
AwayKhandetskyi80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokoltsov5Khandetskyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Sokoltsov5Khandetskyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Sokoltsov7Khandetskyi3n = 10Sokoltsov took 7 of 10
S4Sokoltsov2Khandetskyi6n = 8Khandetskyi took 6 of 8
S5Sokoltsov2Khandetskyi4n = 6Khandetskyi took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSokoltsovKhandetskyiS − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.842.1−2.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokoltsovKhandetskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime258 / 527 vs 401 / 80049%50.1%258 / 527 vs 401 / 800Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SokoltsovSokoltsov 1.91/Khandetskyi 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sokoltsov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sokoltsov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 14:55Y. Sokoltsov3811413103S. Khandetskyi388111181
LAug 18 · 17:55Y. Sokoltsov216870S. Khandetskyi331111113
LJul 10 · 01:25Y. Sokoltsov368111161S. Khandetskyi4311138113
WJul 8 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov511110118113S. Khandetskyi4681281172
LJul 6 · 16:25Y. Sokoltsov4561114682S. Khandetskyi521171211113
LJun 23 · 13:55Y. Sokoltsov4711118892S. Khandetskyi47951111113
WJun 8 · 16:55Y. Sokoltsov45611115123S. Khandetskyi44113911102
LMay 20 · 22:05Y. Sokoltsov4371112762S. Khandetskyi521191011113
LMay 13 · 03:35Y. Sokoltsov3911751332S. Khandetskyi484111111113
WMay 7 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov331111113S. Khandetskyi189270
Y. Sokoltsov10
WSep 15 · 15:55V. Kobets1.67111171182Y. Sokoltsov2.10613114113LSep 15 · 14:25Y. Sokoltsov2.254740O. Melashenko1.571111113WSep 14 · 03:35Y. Sokoltsov1.5051112113M. Skliar2.501171071LSep 14 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.67119511113Y. Sokoltsov2.1091111182WSep 14 · 24:35Y. Sokoltsov1.7391111123D. Kim2.001184101WSep 13 · 23:35S. Pitsyk1.806790Y. Sokoltsov1.911111113LSep 13 · 22:05Y. Sokoltsov2.6314550H. Kulishov1.441611113WSep 10 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.401111157113M. Skliar2.7576171192WSep 10 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov1.91912211113Y. Stepanchuk1.80111011792WSep 10 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov2.631012911113H. Kulishov1.44121011982
S. Khandetskyi10
LSep 15 · 14:55D. Derevynskyi1.57117911113S. Khandetskyi2.2561111482WSep 15 · 13:55V. Kobets1.8061011121S. Khandetskyi1.9111125143WSep 15 · 03:35H. Kulishov1.838511101S. Khandetskyi1.8311119123WSep 15 · 02:35O. Melashenko2.10115119122S. Khandetskyi1.67811911143LSep 15 · 01:05D. Rehotun2.5091112133S. Khandetskyi1.5011510111LSep 14 · 23:05K. Hrynenko1.571111113S. Khandetskyi2.255920WSep 14 · 21:05V. Kobets1.73119111162S. Khandetskyi2.00411113113WSep 9 · 19:25S. Khandetskyi1.831111113O. Melashenko1.838950WSep 9 · 17:55S. Khandetskyi1.501111103113D. Rehotun2.5098121162LSep 9 · 16:25S. Khandetskyi2.00115118122V. Kobets1.73611911143
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