TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131298
Played Sep 15Finished
Yevhenii Sokoltsov
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411711411––––
Oleksandr Melashenko
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:31 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Melashenko to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhenii Sokoltsov above · Oleksandr Melashenko below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 48 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Oleksandr Melashenko at 55.8%
48 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Sokoltsov 4–4 Oleksandr Melashenko Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:31What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Melashenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokoltsov 1539 vs Melashenko 1550
Melashenko
Correct
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokoltsov 60% vs Melashenko 80%
Melashenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokoltsov 60% vs Melashenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokoltsov +1 · Melashenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Melashenko) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melashenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokoltsov 2.25 / Melashenko 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Melashenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13131298
Sokoltsov2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog37% won 52 of 139
Down 0–1, comes back18% 14 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 48
Melashenko1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 81 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it75% 51 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeSokoltsov4wins
AwayMelashenko4wins
1 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSokoltsov75%3 of 4
AwayMelashenko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokoltsov4Melashenko4n = 8split evenly
S2Sokoltsov2Melashenko6n = 8Melashenko took 6 of 8
S3Sokoltsov3Melashenko5n = 8Melashenko took 5 of 8
S4Sokoltsov4Melashenko2n = 6Sokoltsov took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home338%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricSokoltsovMelashenkoS − MBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match38.239.5−1.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokoltsovMelashenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime257 / 525 vs 437 / 86249%50.7%257 / 525 vs 437 / 862Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MelashenkoSokoltsov 2.25/Melashenko 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Melashenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Melashenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WJun 16 · 16:55Y. Sokoltsov501112411123O. Melashenko45214118102
WMay 24 · 15:25Y. Sokoltsov47131011133O. Melashenko4211128111
LMay 15 · 15:55Y. Sokoltsov28101620O. Melashenko411218113
LApr 17 · 02:35Y. Sokoltsov30561181O. Melashenko3911116113
WJan 20 · 05:25Y. Sokoltsov3711114113O. Melashenko30761161
LJan 8 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov431199141O. Melashenko4681111163
LJan 6 · 23:05Y. Sokoltsov3016680O. Melashenko401811113
WJan 1 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov4171111123O. Melashenko331166101
Y. Sokoltsov10
WSep 14 · 03:35Y. Sokoltsov1.5051112113M. Skliar2.501171071LSep 14 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.67119511113Y. Sokoltsov2.1091111182WSep 14 · 24:35Y. Sokoltsov1.7391111123D. Kim2.001184101WSep 13 · 23:35S. Pitsyk1.806790Y. Sokoltsov1.911111113LSep 13 · 22:05Y. Sokoltsov2.6314550H. Kulishov1.441611113WSep 10 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.401111157113M. Skliar2.7576171192WSep 10 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov1.91912211113Y. Stepanchuk1.80111011792WSep 10 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov2.631012911113H. Kulishov1.44121011982LSep 9 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov1.506850M. Fomin2.501111113LSep 9 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov1.8091390D. Kim1.911115113
O. Melashenko10
WSep 15 · 15:25O. Melashenko1.331111113D. Rehotun3.258990WSep 15 · 04:05K. Hrynenko1.575570O. Melashenko2.251111113LSep 15 · 02:35O. Melashenko2.10115119122S. Khandetskyi1.67811911143WSep 15 · 24:35H. Kulishov1.61911961O. Melashenko2.2011911113WSep 14 · 22:35V. Kobets2.10111511782O. Melashenko1.67717611113WSep 14 · 21:35D. Rehotun3.001011781O. Melashenko1.3612211113LSep 13 · 04:05Y. Krol1.251312113O. Melashenko3.75111080WSep 13 · 02:35O. Melashenko1.618111311113M. Marchuk2.2011615672LSep 13 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.6111117113O. Melashenko2.20551171LSep 12 · 22:35V. Lobas1.361411113O. Melashenko3.0012870
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