TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13128352
Played Sep 15Finished
Kostiantyn Hrynenko
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511511711––––
Oleksandr Melashenko
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:50 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeKostiantyn Hrynenko to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKostiantyn Hrynenko above · Oleksandr Melashenko below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 50 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Kostiantyn Hrynenko at 62.5%
50 points played in total.
H2H Kostiantyn Hrynenko 41–34 Oleksandr Melashenko Oleksandr Melashenko has won 34 of their 75 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:50What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Hrynenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
41-34 in 75
Hrynenko
Wrong
gap of 7 in 75, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrynenko 1577 vs Melashenko 1519
Hrynenko
Wrong
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrynenko 60% vs Melashenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrynenko 50% vs Melashenko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrynenko -1 · Melashenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Hrynenko) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melashenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrynenko 1.57 / Melashenko 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Hrynenko)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13128352
Hrynenko1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 57 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it95% 36 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it87% 45 of 52
Melashenko2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 100 of 267
Down 0–1, comes back21% 34 of 165
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 92
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrynenko7wins
AwayMelashenko3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderHrynenko leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrynenko100%6 of 6
AwayMelashenko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrynenko6Melashenko4n = 10Hrynenko took 6 of 10
S2Hrynenko6Melashenko4n = 10Hrynenko took 6 of 10
S3Hrynenko5Melashenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Hrynenko5Melashenko2n = 7Hrynenko took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrynenkoMelashenkoH − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.231.3+4.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrynenkoMelashenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime424 / 908 vs 437 / 86246.7%50.7%424 / 908 vs 437 / 862Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrynenkoHrynenko 1.57/Melashenko 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Hrynenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Melashenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 04:05K. Hrynenko175570O. Melashenko331111113
WSep 13 · 24:35K. Hrynenko4011117113O. Melashenko28551171
WSep 12 · 01:05K. Hrynenko3961111113O. Melashenko25118241
LSep 9 · 13:55K. Hrynenko331151161O. Melashenko4113116113
WSep 6 · 24:35K. Hrynenko331111113O. Melashenko195590
LSep 4 · 23:35K. Hrynenko33471571O. Melashenko46111113113
WSep 1 · 22:35K. Hrynenko4211119113O. Melashenko29591141
WAug 31 · 15:25K. Hrynenko521371011113O. Melashenko48111112952
WAug 29 · 22:05K. Hrynenko4011117113O. Melashenko27571141
WAug 25 · 14:55K. Hrynenko331111113O. Melashenko177460
K. Hrynenko10
LSep 15 · 02:05D. Rehotun2.3811149113K. Hrynenko1.538121191WSep 15 · 24:05V. Kobets3.759850K. Hrynenko1.251111113WSep 14 · 23:05K. Hrynenko1.571111113S. Khandetskyi2.255920LSep 14 · 22:05H. Kulishov2.1010141113113K. Hrynenko1.67121291522WSep 13 · 03:35K. Hrynenko1.671111113M. Marchuk2.109830LSep 13 · 01:35V. Lobas1.531111113K. Hrynenko2.389210WSep 13 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.6111117113O. Melashenko2.20551171WSep 12 · 23:35O. Gomilko1.61311971K. Hrynenko2.2011311113LSep 12 · 22:05K. Hrynenko2.108690Y. Krol1.671111113LSep 12 · 03:05Y. Krol1.6711614113K. Hrynenko2.106111281
O. Melashenko10
LSep 15 · 02:35O. Melashenko2.10115119122S. Khandetskyi1.67811911143WSep 15 · 24:35H. Kulishov1.61911961O. Melashenko2.2011911113WSep 14 · 22:35V. Kobets2.10111511782O. Melashenko1.67717611113WSep 14 · 21:35D. Rehotun3.001011781O. Melashenko1.3612211113LSep 13 · 04:05Y. Krol1.251312113O. Melashenko3.75111080WSep 13 · 02:35O. Melashenko1.618111311113M. Marchuk2.2011615672LSep 13 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.6111117113O. Melashenko2.20551171LSep 12 · 22:35V. Lobas1.361411113O. Melashenko3.0012870LSep 12 · 21:35O. Gomilko1.831111113O. Melashenko1.836770WSep 12 · 03:35D. Derevynskyi1.571211138102O. Melashenko2.251491111123
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.