TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13118738
Played Sep 12Finished
Oleksandr Gomilko
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116117117––––
Oleksandr Melashenko
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Gomilko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Gomilko above · Oleksandr Melashenko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 53 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Oleksandr Gomilko at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Gomilko 33–41 Oleksandr Melashenko Oleksandr Gomilko has won 33 of their 74 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:23What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Melashenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-41 in 74
Melashenko
Wrong
gap of 8 in 74, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gomilko 1618 vs Melashenko 1503
Gomilko
Correct
both rated, 115 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gomilko 60% vs Melashenko 20%
Gomilko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gomilko 50% vs Melashenko 30%
Gomilko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gomilko -1 · Melashenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gomilko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melashenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGomilko 1.83 / Melashenko 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Gomilko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13118738
Gomilko1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Melashenko1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGomilko4wins
AwayMelashenko6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMelashenko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGomilko60%3 of 5
AwayMelashenko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gomilko5Melashenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Gomilko5Melashenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Gomilko5Melashenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Gomilko3Melashenko5n = 8Melashenko took 5 of 8
S5Gomilko1Melashenko2n = 3Melashenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGomilkoMelashenkoG − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.438.1−0.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGomilkoMelashenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime322 / 569 vs 434 / 85756.6%50.6%322 / 569 vs 434 / 857Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GomilkoGomilko 1.83/Melashenko 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Gomilko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Gomilko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 02:35O. Gomilko4291111113O. Melashenko28113771
LSep 5 · 21:35O. Gomilko205780O. Melashenko331111113
LSep 5 · 24:35O. Gomilko341271141O. Melashenko4214116113
WAug 29 · 23:35O. Gomilko4211119113O. Melashenko33781171
WAug 23 · 02:05O. Gomilko331111113O. Melashenko156270
LAug 22 · 02:35O. Gomilko31711851O. Melashenko4111811113
LAug 14 · 21:35O. Gomilko31651191O. Melashenko3811115113
LAug 7 · 23:05O. Gomilko48111151292O. Melashenko50951114113
WAug 2 · 01:05O. Gomilko511210126113O. Melashenko481012101152
LJul 26 · 03:35O. Gomilko42131031152O. Melashenko531112118113
O. Gomilko10
LSep 12 · 04:05V. Lobas1.831111113O. Gomilko1.839980WSep 12 · 02:35O. Gomilko1.8091111113O. Melashenko1.91113771LSep 12 · 24:35D. Derevynskyi2.631111113O. Gomilko1.445760WSep 11 · 22:35Y. Krol2.101112912102O. Gomilko1.679141110123WSep 11 · 21:35K. Hrynenko2.2511101051O. Gomilko1.5781212113WSep 6 · 03:05V. Lobas1.8310118121O. Gomilko1.8312711143LSep 6 · 02:05O. Gomilko1.6710114101Y. Krol2.1012911123WSep 6 · 01:05O. Gomilko1.7311911113M. Marchuk2.00811451LSep 5 · 23:35O. Gomilko1.61116581K. Hrynenko2.2071111113LSep 5 · 21:35O. Gomilko1.835780O. Melashenko1.831111113
O. Melashenko10
LSep 12 · 22:35V. Lobas1.361411113O. Melashenko3.0012870WSep 12 · 03:35D. Derevynskyi1.571211138102O. Melashenko2.251491111123LSep 12 · 02:35O. Gomilko1.8091111113O. Melashenko1.91113771LSep 12 · 01:05K. Hrynenko1.6161111113O. Melashenko2.20118241LSep 11 · 23:05V. Lobas1.501111113O. Melashenko2.505440LSep 11 · 21:05Y. Krol1.301111153O. Melashenko3.4079130LSep 9 · 19:25S. Khandetskyi1.831111113O. Melashenko1.838950LSep 9 · 18:25O. Melashenko1.5711711782V. Kobets2.25811611113LSep 9 · 17:25O. Melashenko2.0051190S. Skachenko1.731113113WSep 5 · 21:35O. Gomilko1.835780O. Melashenko1.831111113
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