TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13128363
Played Sep 15Finished
Hryhorii Kulishov
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911119911611––
Oleksandr Melashenko
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:51 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeHryhorii Kulishov to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingHryhorii Kulishov above · Oleksandr Melashenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 77 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Hryhorii Kulishov at 58.5%
77 points played in total.
H2H Hryhorii Kulishov 8–9 Oleksandr Melashenko Hryhorii Kulishov has won 8 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:51What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kulishov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-9 in 17
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kulishov 1541 vs Melashenko 1513
Kulishov
Wrong
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulishov 60% vs Melashenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulishov 80% vs Melashenko 40%
Kulishov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulishov -1 · Melashenko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kulishov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melashenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulishov 1.61 / Melashenko 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 42%
Edge (Kulishov)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13128363
Kulishov1.61
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 179 of 283
Up 2–0, closes it96% 104 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it75% 137 of 183
Melashenko2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 100 of 267
Down 0–1, comes back21% 34 of 165
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 92
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKulishov3wins
AwayMelashenko7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMelashenko leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulishov75%3 of 4
AwayMelashenko100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulishov4Melashenko6n = 10Melashenko took 6 of 10
S2Kulishov6Melashenko4n = 10Kulishov took 6 of 10
S3Kulishov4Melashenko6n = 10Melashenko took 6 of 10
S4Kulishov5Melashenko4n = 9Kulishov took 5 of 9
S5Kulishov1Melashenko4n = 5Melashenko took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKulishovMelashenkoK − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.943.4−0.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulishovMelashenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime487 / 941 vs 436 / 86051.8%50.7%487 / 941 vs 436 / 860Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulishovKulishov 1.61/Melashenko 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.5%
Kulishov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Melashenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LDec 29 · 01:05H. Kulishov471111411102O. Melashenko52138118123
LNov 23 · 22:35H. Kulishov45101151182O. Melashenko47125118113
WNov 17 · 04:05H. Kulishov44111111113O. Melashenko31741371
LOct 6 · 02:05H. Kulishov3451151122O. Melashenko45118114113
LAug 15 · 01:35H. Kulishov4412912111O. Melashenko48141110133
LJun 9 · 21:35H. Kulishov4191111101O. Melashenko4511139123
LJun 2 · 01:05H. Kulishov558111113122O. Melashenko52113915143
WMay 27 · 02:35H. Kulishov481151011113O. Melashenko4891112972
LMay 25 · 23:35H. Kulishov381179111O. Melashenko4491111133
WMay 11 · 23:05H. Kulishov331111113O. Melashenko224990
H. Kulishov10
WSep 15 · 01:35V. Kobets2.3811660H. Kulishov1.531311113LSep 14 · 23:35D. Rehotun2.00115511113H. Kulishov1.7371111882WSep 14 · 22:05H. Kulishov2.1010141113113K. Hrynenko1.67121291522LSep 14 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.80111080D. Kim1.911312113WSep 14 · 02:05S. Pitsyk1.8371181232H. Kulishov1.831191110113WSep 14 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi2.50851151H. Kulishov1.5011118113WSep 13 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.28111110113M. Skliar3.50661271WSep 13 · 22:05Y. Sokoltsov2.6314550H. Kulishov1.441611113WSep 11 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi2.2512530H. Kulishov1.571411113WSep 11 · 02:05H. Kulishov1.2211711113M. Skliar4.00611961
O. Melashenko10
LSep 15 · 02:35O. Melashenko2.10115119122S. Khandetskyi1.67811911143WSep 14 · 22:35V. Kobets2.10111511782O. Melashenko1.67717611113WSep 14 · 21:35D. Rehotun3.001011781O. Melashenko1.3612211113LSep 13 · 04:05Y. Krol1.251312113O. Melashenko3.75111080WSep 13 · 02:35O. Melashenko1.618111311113M. Marchuk2.2011615672LSep 13 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.6111117113O. Melashenko2.20551171LSep 12 · 22:35V. Lobas1.361411113O. Melashenko3.0012870LSep 12 · 21:35O. Gomilko1.831111113O. Melashenko1.836770WSep 12 · 03:35D. Derevynskyi1.571211138102O. Melashenko2.251491111123LSep 12 · 02:35O. Gomilko1.8091111113O. Melashenko1.91113771
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