TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13128404
Played Sep 14Finished
Dmytro Rehotun
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117511511118118
Hryhorii Kulishov
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:02 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeHryhorii Kulishov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmytro Rehotun above · Hryhorii Kulishov below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 88 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Hryhorii Kulishov at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Rehotun 1–0 Hryhorii Kulishov Hryhorii Kulishov has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:02What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kulishov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Rehotun 1377 vs Kulishov 1555
Kulishov
Wrong
both rated, 178 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rehotun 0% vs Kulishov 80%
Kulishov
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rehotun 20% vs Kulishov 80%
Kulishov
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rehotun -5 · Kulishov +1
Rehotun
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kulishov) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulishov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRehotun 2.00 / Kulishov 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 57%
Edge (Kulishov)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13128404
Rehotun2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog17% won 2 of 12
Down 0–1, comes back13% 1 of 8
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Kulishov1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 179 of 283
Up 2–0, closes it96% 104 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it75% 137 of 183
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeRehotun1wins
AwayKulishov0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderRehotun leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricRehotunKulishovR − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match43.045.0−2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRehotunKulishovBasisWin rate · lifetime199 / 400 vs 487 / 94149.8%51.8%199 / 400 vs 487 / 941Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.039.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulishovRehotun 2.00/Kulishov 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.5%
Kulishov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Rehotun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 14 · 23:35D. Rehotun43115511113H. Kulishov4571111882
D. Rehotun10
WSep 15 · 02:05D. Rehotun2.3811149113K. Hrynenko1.538121191WSep 15 · 01:05D. Rehotun2.5091112133S. Khandetskyi1.5011510111LSep 14 · 21:35D. Rehotun3.001011781O. Melashenko1.3612211113LSep 9 · 19:55D. Rehotun2.5011971182S. Skachenko1.50711116113LSep 9 · 17:55S. Khandetskyi1.501111103113D. Rehotun2.5098121162LSep 9 · 16:55D. Rehotun2.201167101K. Hrynenko1.6161111123LSep 9 · 15:55O. Melashenko1.40137116113D. Rehotun2.75111131182LSep 9 · 14:25D. Rehotun2.0010610V. Kobets1.731211113WSep 9 · 03:05D. Rehotun2.63611811123S. Khandetskyi1.44112118102LSep 9 · 01:35D. Rehotun1.832660K. Hrynenko1.831111113
H. Kulishov10
WSep 15 · 01:35V. Kobets2.3811660H. Kulishov1.531311113LSep 15 · 24:35H. Kulishov1.61911961O. Melashenko2.2011911113WSep 14 · 22:05H. Kulishov2.1010141113113K. Hrynenko1.67121291522LSep 14 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.80111080D. Kim1.911312113WSep 14 · 02:05S. Pitsyk1.8371181232H. Kulishov1.831191110113WSep 14 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi2.50851151H. Kulishov1.5011118113WSep 13 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.28111110113M. Skliar3.50661271WSep 13 · 22:05Y. Sokoltsov2.6314550H. Kulishov1.441611113WSep 11 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi2.2512530H. Kulishov1.571411113WSep 11 · 02:05H. Kulishov1.2211711113M. Skliar4.00611961
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