TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13128429
Played Sep 15Finished
Dmytro Rehotun
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
91111512101311––
Serhii Khandetskyi
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:01 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeSerhii Khandetskyi to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmytro Rehotun above · Serhii Khandetskyi below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 82 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Serhii Khandetskyi at 63.7%
82 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Rehotun 1–4 Serhii Khandetskyi Dmytro Rehotun has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:01What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Khandetskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Khandetskyi
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rehotun 1377 vs Khandetskyi 1493
Khandetskyi
Wrong
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rehotun 20% vs Khandetskyi 60%
Khandetskyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rehotun 20% vs Khandetskyi 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rehotun +1 · Khandetskyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Khandetskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rehotun form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRehotun 2.50 / Khandetskyi 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 67%
Edge (Khandetskyi)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13128429
Rehotun2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog17% won 2 of 12
Down 0–1, comes back13% 1 of 8
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Khandetskyi1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite50% won 54 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it90% 27 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it70% 40 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeRehotun1wins
AwayKhandetskyi4wins
2 of 5 to a deciderKhandetskyi leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRehotunn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayKhandetskyi80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rehotun0Khandetskyi5n = 5Khandetskyi took 5 of 5
S2Rehotun3Khandetskyi2n = 5Rehotun took 3 of 5
S3Rehotun1Khandetskyi4n = 5Khandetskyi took 4 of 5
S4Rehotun2Khandetskyi2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricRehotunKhandetskyiR − KBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set05−5of 5Avg pointsper match36.441.4−5.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRehotunKhandetskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime199 / 400 vs 398 / 79549.8%50.1%199 / 400 vs 398 / 795Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhandetskyiRehotun 2.50/Khandetskyi 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.5%
Khandetskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Rehotun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 9 · 17:55D. Rehotun4698121162S. Khandetskyi461111103113
WSep 9 · 03:05D. Rehotun48611811123S. Khandetskyi42112118102
LSep 2 · 01:05D. Rehotun346117101S. Khandetskyi4211811123
LAug 31 · 13:55D. Rehotun2273120S. Khandetskyi361111143
LMar 16 · 19:25D. Rehotun325111061S. Khandetskyi4111712113
D. Rehotun10
WSep 15 · 02:05D. Rehotun2.3811149113K. Hrynenko1.538121191WSep 14 · 23:35D. Rehotun2.00115511113H. Kulishov1.7371111882LSep 14 · 21:35D. Rehotun3.001011781O. Melashenko1.3612211113LSep 9 · 19:55D. Rehotun2.5011971182S. Skachenko1.50711116113LSep 9 · 17:55S. Khandetskyi1.501111103113D. Rehotun2.5098121162LSep 9 · 16:55D. Rehotun2.201167101K. Hrynenko1.6161111123LSep 9 · 15:55O. Melashenko1.40137116113D. Rehotun2.75111131182LSep 9 · 14:25D. Rehotun2.0010610V. Kobets1.731211113WSep 9 · 03:05D. Rehotun2.63611811123S. Khandetskyi1.44112118102LSep 9 · 01:35D. Rehotun1.832660K. Hrynenko1.831111113
S. Khandetskyi10
LSep 14 · 23:05K. Hrynenko1.571111113S. Khandetskyi2.255920WSep 14 · 21:05V. Kobets1.73119111162S. Khandetskyi2.00411113113WSep 9 · 19:25S. Khandetskyi1.831111113O. Melashenko1.838950WSep 9 · 17:55S. Khandetskyi1.501111103113D. Rehotun2.5098121162LSep 9 · 16:25S. Khandetskyi2.00115118122V. Kobets1.73611911143LSep 9 · 14:55S. Khandetskyi2.6311981162K. Hrynenko1.44511119113LSep 9 · 13:25S. Khandetskyi2.3813690S. Skachenko1.531511113LSep 9 · 03:05D. Rehotun2.63611811123S. Khandetskyi1.44112118102LSep 9 · 02:05S. Khandetskyi1.831181141S. Pitsyk1.8313116113LSep 9 · 01:05S. Khandetskyi2.50114911112O. Naida1.50511119133
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