TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13128308
Played Sep 14Finished
Kostiantyn Hrynenko
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115119112––––
Serhii Khandetskyi
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:40 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeKostiantyn Hrynenko to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKostiantyn Hrynenko above · Serhii Khandetskyi below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-2
Point 49 set 3, 11-2 — our read held Kostiantyn Hrynenko at 62.1%
49 points played in total.
H2H Kostiantyn Hrynenko 10–7 Serhii Khandetskyi Serhii Khandetskyi has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:40What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Hrynenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-7 in 17
Hrynenko
Correct
gap of 3 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrynenko 1593 vs Khandetskyi 1504
Hrynenko
Correct
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrynenko 60% vs Khandetskyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrynenko 40% vs Khandetskyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrynenko -1 · Khandetskyi +3
Khandetskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Hrynenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khandetskyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrynenko 1.57 / Khandetskyi 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Hrynenko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13128308
Hrynenko1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 57 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it95% 36 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it87% 45 of 52
Khandetskyi2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog49% won 78 of 160
Down 0–1, comes back25% 20 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrynenko7wins
AwayKhandetskyi3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHrynenko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrynenko100%6 of 6
AwayKhandetskyi75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrynenko6Khandetskyi4n = 10Hrynenko took 6 of 10
S2Hrynenko6Khandetskyi4n = 10Hrynenko took 6 of 10
S3Hrynenko6Khandetskyi4n = 10Hrynenko took 6 of 10
S4Hrynenko3Khandetskyi3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrynenkoKhandetskyiH − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.034.8+3.2per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrynenkoKhandetskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime422 / 904 vs 398 / 79446.7%50.1%422 / 904 vs 398 / 794Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrynenkoHrynenko 1.57/Khandetskyi 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.1%
Hrynenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hrynenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 23:35K. Hrynenko363121291S. Khandetskyi46111014113
WSep 1 · 21:35K. Hrynenko51128811123S. Khandetskyi501011118102
WAug 31 · 18:55K. Hrynenko341112113S. Khandetskyi1961030
WAug 26 · 22:53K. Hrynenko331111113S. Khandetskyi197840
LAug 25 · 20:25K. Hrynenko2889110S. Khandetskyi351111133
WAug 24 · 14:55K. Hrynenko4271113113S. Khandetskyi381191171
LAug 19 · 23:05K. Hrynenko33814651S. Khandetskyi45111211113
WAug 17 · 18:55K. Hrynenko3911611113S. Khandetskyi31411971
WAug 12 · 04:05K. Hrynenko331111113S. Khandetskyi196670
WAug 5 · 14:55K. Hrynenko51118129113S. Khandetskyi46711101172
K. Hrynenko10
LSep 14 · 22:05H. Kulishov2.1010141113113K. Hrynenko1.67121291522WSep 13 · 03:35K. Hrynenko1.671111113M. Marchuk2.109830LSep 13 · 01:35V. Lobas1.531111113K. Hrynenko2.389210WSep 13 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.6111117113O. Melashenko2.20551171WSep 12 · 23:35O. Gomilko1.61311971K. Hrynenko2.2011311113LSep 12 · 22:05K. Hrynenko2.108690Y. Krol1.671111113LSep 12 · 03:05Y. Krol1.6711614113K. Hrynenko2.106111281LSep 12 · 02:05K. Hrynenko2.38711991V. Lobas1.5311911113WSep 12 · 01:05K. Hrynenko1.6161111113O. Melashenko2.20118241LSep 11 · 23:35K. Hrynenko2.50711791D. Derevynskyi1.5011711113
S. Khandetskyi10
WSep 14 · 21:05V. Kobets1.73119111162S. Khandetskyi2.00411113113WSep 9 · 19:25S. Khandetskyi1.831111113O. Melashenko1.838950WSep 9 · 17:55S. Khandetskyi1.501111103113D. Rehotun2.5098121162LSep 9 · 16:25S. Khandetskyi2.00115118122V. Kobets1.73611911143LSep 9 · 14:55S. Khandetskyi2.6311981162K. Hrynenko1.44511119113LSep 9 · 13:25S. Khandetskyi2.3813690S. Skachenko1.531511113LSep 9 · 03:05D. Rehotun2.63611811123S. Khandetskyi1.44112118102LSep 9 · 02:05S. Khandetskyi1.831181141S. Pitsyk1.8313116113LSep 9 · 01:05S. Khandetskyi2.50114911112O. Naida1.50511119133WSep 8 · 23:35S. Khandetskyi2.50111014113K. Hrynenko1.503121291
Upcoming Matches
K. Hrynenko
S. Khandetskyi
Sep 15 · 01:05S. Khandetskyi1.50D. Rehotun2.50—Sep 15 · 02:35S. Khandetskyi1.67O. Melashenko2.10—Sep 15 · 03:35S. Khandetskyi1.83H. Kulishov1.83—Sep 15 · 13:55S. Khandetskyi1.91V. Kobets1.80—Sep 15 · 14:55S. Khandetskyi2.25D. Derevynskyi1.57—Sep 15 · 16:55S. Khandetskyi1.80Y. Sokoltsov1.91—Sep 15 · 18:55S. Khandetskyi1.50D. Rehotun2.50—Sep 15 · 20:25S. Khandetskyi1.67O. Melashenko2.10—
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