TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13128390
Played Sep 14Finished
Dmytro Rehotun
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012112711811––
Oleksandr Melashenko
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:51 and never touched — 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Melashenko to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Rehotun above · Oleksandr Melashenko below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 72 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Oleksandr Melashenko at 68.8%
72 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Rehotun 0–3 Oleksandr Melashenko Dmytro Rehotun has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:51What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Melashenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Melashenko
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rehotun 1369 vs Melashenko 1479
Melashenko
Correct
both rated, 110 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rehotun 0% vs Melashenko 20%
Melashenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rehotun 20% vs Melashenko 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rehotun -5 · Melashenko -1
Rehotun
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Melashenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melashenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRehotun 3.00 / Melashenko 1.36
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Melashenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13128390
Rehotun3.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog17% won 2 of 12
Down 0–1, comes back13% 1 of 8
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Melashenko1.36
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 79 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it75% 50 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeRehotun0wins
AwayMelashenko3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderMelashenko leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rehotun1Melashenko2n = 3Melashenko took 2 of 3
S2Rehotun1Melashenko2n = 3Melashenko took 2 of 3
S3Rehotun0Melashenko3n = 3Melashenko took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricRehotunMelashenkoR − MBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match34.041.3−7.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRehotunMelashenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime202 / 408 vs 433 / 85749.5%50.5%202 / 408 vs 433 / 857Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MelashenkoRehotun 3.00/Melashenko 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Melashenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Melashenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 9 · 15:55D. Rehotun44111131182O. Melashenko48137116113
LSep 1 · 21:05D. Rehotun2477100O. Melashenko341111123
LAug 31 · 18:25D. Rehotun34115991O. Melashenko4291111113
D. Rehotun10
LSep 9 · 19:55D. Rehotun2.5011971182S. Skachenko1.50711116113LSep 9 · 17:55S. Khandetskyi1.501111103113D. Rehotun2.5098121162LSep 9 · 16:55D. Rehotun2.201167101K. Hrynenko1.6161111123LSep 9 · 15:55O. Melashenko1.40137116113D. Rehotun2.75111131182LSep 9 · 14:25D. Rehotun2.0010610V. Kobets1.731211113WSep 9 · 03:05D. Rehotun2.63611811123S. Khandetskyi1.44112118102LSep 9 · 01:35D. Rehotun1.832660K. Hrynenko1.831111113LSep 9 · 24:05D. Rehotun1.9177111192S. Pitsyk1.80111187113WSep 8 · 22:35D. Rehotun1.671111113D. Us2.108990LSep 8 · 21:05D. Rehotun1.735250O. Naida2.001111113
O. Melashenko10
LSep 13 · 04:05Y. Krol1.251312113O. Melashenko3.75111080WSep 13 · 02:35O. Melashenko1.618111311113M. Marchuk2.2011615672LSep 13 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.6111117113O. Melashenko2.20551171LSep 12 · 22:35V. Lobas1.361411113O. Melashenko3.0012870LSep 12 · 21:35O. Gomilko1.831111113O. Melashenko1.836770WSep 12 · 03:35D. Derevynskyi1.571211138102O. Melashenko2.251491111123LSep 12 · 02:35O. Gomilko1.8091111113O. Melashenko1.91113771LSep 12 · 01:05K. Hrynenko1.6161111113O. Melashenko2.20118241LSep 11 · 23:05V. Lobas1.501111113O. Melashenko2.505440WSep 9 · 15:55O. Melashenko1.40137116113D. Rehotun2.75111131182
Upcoming Matches
D. Rehotun
Sep 14 · 23:35D. Rehotun2.00H. Kulishov1.73—Sep 15 · 01:05D. Rehotun2.50S. Khandetskyi1.50—Sep 15 · 02:05D. Rehotun2.20K. Hrynenko1.61—Sep 15 · 03:05D. Rehotun2.63V. Kobets1.44—Sep 15 · 13:25D. Rehotun2.20D. Derevynskyi1.61—Sep 15 · 15:25D. Rehotun3.00O. Melashenko1.36—Sep 15 · 17:25D. Rehotun2.63V. Kobets1.44—Sep 15 · 18:55D. Rehotun2.50S. Khandetskyi1.50—Sep 15 · 19:55D. Rehotun2.20Y. Sokoltsov1.61—
O. Melashenko
Sep 14 · 22:35O. Melashenko1.67V. Kobets2.10—Sep 15 · 24:35O. Melashenko2.20H. Kulishov1.61—Sep 15 · 02:35O. Melashenko2.10S. Khandetskyi1.67—Sep 15 · 04:05O. Melashenko2.25K. Hrynenko1.57—Sep 15 · 14:25O. Melashenko1.67Y. Sokoltsov2.10—Sep 15 · 15:25O. Melashenko1.36D. Rehotun3.00—Sep 15 · 16:25O. Melashenko2.25D. Derevynskyi1.57—Sep 15 · 18:25O. Melashenko1.67V. Kobets2.10—Sep 15 · 20:25O. Melashenko2.10S. Khandetskyi1.67—
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.