TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131343
Played Sep 15Finished
Dmytro Derevynskyi
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116711911114118
Serhii Khandetskyi
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:47 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeDmytro Derevynskyi to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Derevynskyi above · Serhii Khandetskyi below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 89 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Dmytro Derevynskyi at 60.1%
89 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Derevynskyi 7–5 Serhii Khandetskyi Serhii Khandetskyi has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:47What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Derevynskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Derevynskyi
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Derevynskyi 1547 vs Khandetskyi 1515
Derevynskyi
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Derevynskyi 40% vs Khandetskyi 60%
Khandetskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Derevynskyi 40% vs Khandetskyi 60%
Khandetskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Derevynskyi +1 · Khandetskyi +3
Khandetskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Derevynskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khandetskyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDerevynskyi 1.57 / Khandetskyi 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Derevynskyi)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13131343
Derevynskyi1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 190 of 328
Up 2–0, closes it91% 88 of 97
Up 1–0, closes it71% 136 of 192
Khandetskyi2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog48% won 77 of 159
Down 0–1, comes back25% 20 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDerevynskyi6wins
AwayKhandetskyi4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDerevynskyi leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDerevynskyi60%3 of 5
AwayKhandetskyi40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Derevynskyi5Khandetskyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Derevynskyi5Khandetskyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Derevynskyi7Khandetskyi3n = 10Derevynskyi took 7 of 10
S4Derevynskyi5Khandetskyi3n = 8Derevynskyi took 5 of 8
S5Derevynskyi2Khandetskyi2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDerevynskyiKhandetskyiD − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.239.8+4.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDerevynskyiKhandetskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime476 / 874 vs 401 / 79954.5%50.2%476 / 874 vs 401 / 799Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.637.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DerevynskyiDerevynskyi 1.57/Khandetskyi 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Derevynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Derevynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 11 · 23:05D. Derevynskyi511181110112S. Khandetskyi50511912133
WAug 5 · 20:25D. Derevynskyi60791122113S. Khandetskyi57111192062
WAug 4 · 18:55D. Derevynskyi50981111113S. Khandetskyi3811113672
LJul 29 · 20:25D. Derevynskyi4111101191S. Khandetskyi4213126113
WSep 18 · 02:35D. Derevynskyi341111123S. Khandetskyi2697100
LSep 16 · 13:25D. Derevynskyi4717111271S. Khandetskyi5319914113
LSep 10 · 16:55D. Derevynskyi4212581162S. Khandetskyi491011116113
WSep 10 · 02:05D. Derevynskyi4111118113S. Khandetskyi33581191
WAug 14 · 22:55D. Derevynskyi43101111113S. Khandetskyi32127491
WJul 24 · 21:25D. Derevynskyi331111113S. Khandetskyi187290
D. Derevynskyi10
WSep 15 · 13:25D. Derevynskyi1.531111113D. Rehotun2.387760LSep 15 · 03:25V. Khamurda1.911111113D. Derevynskyi1.808890LSep 15 · 02:25D. Derevynskyi1.73117116102S. Skachenko2.00611311123LSep 15 · 01:25D. Derevynskyi1.80911811122R. Gnoevoy1.91118118143WSep 14 · 23:55D. Derevynskyi1.731111123O. Naida2.0068100LSep 14 · 21:55D. Derevynskyi1.8011113111S. Abalmaz1.9181311133LSep 12 · 03:35D. Derevynskyi1.571211138102O. Melashenko2.251491111123LSep 12 · 01:35Y. Krol2.631211133D. Derevynskyi1.44105110WSep 12 · 24:35D. Derevynskyi2.631111113O. Gomilko1.445760WSep 11 · 23:35K. Hrynenko2.50711791D. Derevynskyi1.5011711113
S. Khandetskyi10
WSep 15 · 13:55V. Kobets1.8061011121S. Khandetskyi1.9111125143WSep 15 · 03:35H. Kulishov1.838511101S. Khandetskyi1.8311119123WSep 15 · 02:35O. Melashenko2.10115119122S. Khandetskyi1.67811911143LSep 15 · 01:05D. Rehotun2.5091112133S. Khandetskyi1.5011510111LSep 14 · 23:05K. Hrynenko1.571111113S. Khandetskyi2.255920WSep 14 · 21:05V. Kobets1.73119111162S. Khandetskyi2.00411113113WSep 9 · 19:25S. Khandetskyi1.831111113O. Melashenko1.838950WSep 9 · 17:55S. Khandetskyi1.501111103113D. Rehotun2.5098121162LSep 9 · 16:25S. Khandetskyi2.00115118122V. Kobets1.73611911143LSep 9 · 14:55S. Khandetskyi2.6311981162K. Hrynenko1.44511119113
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