TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131297
Played Sep 15Finished
Dmytro Derevynskyi
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117117116––––
Dmytro Rehotun
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:32 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeDmytro Derevynskyi to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Derevynskyi above · Dmytro Rehotun below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 53 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Dmytro Derevynskyi at 58.1%
53 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Derevynskyi 23–17 Dmytro Rehotun Dmytro Rehotun has won 17 of their 40 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:32What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Derevynskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-17 in 40
Derevynskyi
Correct
gap of 6 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Derevynskyi 1538 vs Rehotun 1403
Derevynskyi
Correct
both rated, 135 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Derevynskyi 20% vs Rehotun 60%
Rehotun
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Derevynskyi 30% vs Rehotun 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Derevynskyi -3 · Rehotun -1
Derevynskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Derevynskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rehotun form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDerevynskyi 1.53 / Rehotun 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Derevynskyi)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13131297
Derevynskyi1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 190 of 328
Up 2–0, closes it91% 88 of 97
Up 1–0, closes it71% 136 of 192
Rehotun2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog29% won 5 of 17
Down 0–1, comes back20% 2 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDerevynskyi8wins
AwayRehotun2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderDerevynskyi leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDerevynskyi100%6 of 6
AwayRehotun50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Derevynskyi6Rehotun4n = 10Derevynskyi took 6 of 10
S2Derevynskyi7Rehotun3n = 10Derevynskyi took 7 of 10
S3Derevynskyi5Rehotun5n = 10split evenly
S4Derevynskyi5Rehotun4n = 9Derevynskyi took 5 of 9
S5Derevynskyi4Rehotun1n = 5Derevynskyi took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDerevynskyiRehotunD − RBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.738.7+5.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDerevynskyiRehotunBasisWin rate · lifetime475 / 873 vs 201 / 40354.4%49.9%475 / 873 vs 201 / 403Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.737.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DerevynskyiDerevynskyi 1.53/Rehotun 2.38
Hit
What we said
64%
Derevynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Derevynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 23:05D. Derevynskyi47111212123D. Rehotun3841014101
WFeb 3 · 23:55D. Derevynskyi47611118113D. Rehotun4011371182
WJan 27 · 22:55D. Derevynskyi54158911113D. Rehotun51131111972
WJan 6 · 14:35D. Derevynskyi45117115113D. Rehotun3951161162
WJan 6 · 04:55D. Derevynskyi4311119123D. Rehotun347611101
LJan 1 · 13:05D. Derevynskyi31511871D. Rehotun4011711113
WDec 22 · 23:55D. Derevynskyi4211118123D. Rehotun273311101
WNov 18 · 04:55D. Derevynskyi371115113D. Rehotun2381320
WOct 22 · 16:55D. Derevynskyi49911118103D. Rehotun4411681182
LOct 16 · 22:25D. Derevynskyi42106111142D. Rehotun51121198113
D. Derevynskyi10
LSep 15 · 03:25V. Khamurda1.911111113D. Derevynskyi1.808890LSep 15 · 02:25D. Derevynskyi1.73117116102S. Skachenko2.00611311123LSep 15 · 01:25D. Derevynskyi1.80911811122R. Gnoevoy1.91118118143WSep 14 · 23:55D. Derevynskyi1.731111123O. Naida2.0068100LSep 14 · 21:55D. Derevynskyi1.8011113111S. Abalmaz1.9181311133LSep 12 · 03:35D. Derevynskyi1.571211138102O. Melashenko2.251491111123LSep 12 · 01:35Y. Krol2.631211133D. Derevynskyi1.44105110WSep 12 · 24:35D. Derevynskyi2.631111113O. Gomilko1.445760WSep 11 · 23:35K. Hrynenko2.50711791D. Derevynskyi1.5011711113LSep 11 · 22:05D. Derevynskyi2.505970V. Lobas1.501111113
D. Rehotun10
LSep 15 · 03:05V. Kobets1.4451111113D. Rehotun2.63118561WSep 15 · 02:05D. Rehotun2.3811149113K. Hrynenko1.538121191WSep 15 · 01:05D. Rehotun2.5091112133S. Khandetskyi1.5011510111WSep 14 · 23:35D. Rehotun2.00115511113H. Kulishov1.7371111882LSep 14 · 21:35D. Rehotun3.001011781O. Melashenko1.3612211113LSep 9 · 19:55D. Rehotun2.5011971182S. Skachenko1.50711116113LSep 9 · 17:55S. Khandetskyi1.501111103113D. Rehotun2.5098121162LSep 9 · 16:55D. Rehotun2.201167101K. Hrynenko1.6161111123LSep 9 · 15:55O. Melashenko1.40137116113D. Rehotun2.75111131182LSep 9 · 14:25D. Rehotun2.0010610V. Kobets1.731211113
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