TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13128529
Played Sep 15Finished
Hryhorii Kulishov
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8115111191012––
Serhii Khandetskyi
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeHryhorii Kulishov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingHryhorii Kulishov above · Serhii Khandetskyi below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 77 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Hryhorii Kulishov at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Hryhorii Kulishov 11–14 Serhii Khandetskyi Hryhorii Kulishov has won 11 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:31What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Khandetskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-14 in 25
Khandetskyi
Correct
gap of 3 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kulishov 1553 vs Khandetskyi 1489
Kulishov
Wrong
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulishov 40% vs Khandetskyi 60%
Khandetskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulishov 70% vs Khandetskyi 40%
Kulishov
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulishov +1 · Khandetskyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kulishov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulishov form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulishov 1.83 / Khandetskyi 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kulishov)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13128529
Kulishov1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Khandetskyi1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKulishov4wins
AwayKhandetskyi6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKhandetskyi leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulishov40%2 of 5
AwayKhandetskyi60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulishov5Khandetskyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Kulishov3Khandetskyi7n = 10Khandetskyi took 7 of 10
S3Kulishov5Khandetskyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Kulishov4Khandetskyi3n = 7Kulishov took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKulishovKhandetskyiKulishov − KhandetskyiBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.637.8−2.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulishovKhandetskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime488 / 942 vs 399 / 79751.8%50.1%488 / 942 vs 399 / 797Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulishovKulishov 1.83/Khandetskyi 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kulishov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Khandetskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 18:55H. Kulishov51111514113S. Khandetskyi406171251
WAug 26 · 21:25H. Kulishov3741111113S. Khandetskyi36119971
LAug 24 · 16:25H. Kulishov33115981S. Khandetskyi4291111113
LAug 17 · 20:25H. Kulishov227780S. Khandetskyi331111113
WMar 20 · 18:55H. Kulishov331111113S. Khandetskyi236980
WMar 19 · 23:05H. Kulishov3741111113S. Khandetskyi34116891
LMar 19 · 02:05H. Kulishov50991111102S. Khandetskyi46111148123
LMar 12 · 22:05H. Kulishov2256110S. Khandetskyi351111133
LMar 12 · 05:05H. Kulishov371311761S. Khandetskyi46111311113
LMar 10 · 20:25H. Kulishov34129851S. Khandetskyi43101111113
H. Kulishov10
WSep 15 · 01:35V. Kobets2.3811660H. Kulishov1.531311113LSep 15 · 24:35H. Kulishov1.61911961O. Melashenko2.2011911113LSep 14 · 23:35D. Rehotun2.00115511113H. Kulishov1.7371111882WSep 14 · 22:05H. Kulishov2.1010141113113K. Hrynenko1.67121291522LSep 14 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.80111080D. Kim1.911312113WSep 14 · 02:05S. Pitsyk1.8371181232H. Kulishov1.831191110113WSep 14 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi2.50851151H. Kulishov1.5011118113WSep 13 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.28111110113M. Skliar3.50661271WSep 13 · 22:05Y. Sokoltsov2.6314550H. Kulishov1.441611113WSep 11 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi2.2512530H. Kulishov1.571411113
S. Khandetskyi10
WSep 15 · 02:35O. Melashenko2.10115119122S. Khandetskyi1.67811911143LSep 15 · 01:05D. Rehotun2.5091112133S. Khandetskyi1.5011510111LSep 14 · 23:05K. Hrynenko1.571111113S. Khandetskyi2.255920WSep 14 · 21:05V. Kobets1.73119111162S. Khandetskyi2.00411113113WSep 9 · 19:25S. Khandetskyi1.831111113O. Melashenko1.838950WSep 9 · 17:55S. Khandetskyi1.501111103113D. Rehotun2.5098121162LSep 9 · 16:25S. Khandetskyi2.00115118122V. Kobets1.73611911143LSep 9 · 14:55S. Khandetskyi2.6311981162K. Hrynenko1.44511119113LSep 9 · 13:25S. Khandetskyi2.3813690S. Skachenko1.531511113LSep 9 · 03:05D. Rehotun2.63611811123S. Khandetskyi1.44112118102
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