TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131366
Played Sep 15Finished
Vitalii Kobets
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1161113711114811
Yevhenii Sokoltsov
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:46 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeVitalii Kobets to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVitalii Kobets above · Yevhenii Sokoltsov below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 93 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Vitalii Kobets at 55.8%
93 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Kobets 26–23 Yevhenii Sokoltsov Yevhenii Sokoltsov has won 23 of their 49 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:46What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kobets
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-23 in 49
Kobets
Wrong
gap of 3 in 49, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kobets 1479 vs Sokoltsov 1525
Sokoltsov
Correct
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kobets 20% vs Sokoltsov 60%
Sokoltsov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kobets 40% vs Sokoltsov 60%
Sokoltsov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kobets -1 · Sokoltsov -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kobets) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokoltsov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKobets 1.67 / Sokoltsov 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kobets)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13131366
Kobets1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 77 of 127
Up 2–0, closes it92% 33 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it80% 51 of 64
Sokoltsov2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog37% won 52 of 139
Down 0–1, comes back18% 14 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKobets5wins
AwaySokoltsov5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKobets100%4 of 4
AwaySokoltsov83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kobets4Sokoltsov6n = 10Sokoltsov took 6 of 10
S2Kobets5Sokoltsov5n = 10split evenly
S3Kobets5Sokoltsov5n = 10split evenly
S4Kobets4Sokoltsov3n = 7Kobets took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKobetsSokoltsovK − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.935.1+2.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKobetsSokoltsovBasisWin rate · lifetime447 / 866 vs 257 / 52651.6%48.9%447 / 866 vs 257 / 526Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KobetsKobets 1.67/Sokoltsov 2.10
Miss
What we said
54%
Kobets · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sokoltsov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 16 · 01:05V. Kobets4167111162Y. Sokoltsov44111156113
LJul 13 · 22:35V. Kobets2998120Y. Sokoltsov361111143
LJul 6 · 19:25V. Kobets31911741Y. Sokoltsov4011711113
WJul 2 · 03:05V. Kobets4211119113Y. Sokoltsov32891141
LJun 23 · 20:25V. Kobets28511120Y. Sokoltsov381113143
WJun 12 · 01:35V. Kobets43111011113Y. Sokoltsov36812791
WJun 8 · 14:25V. Kobets541112119113Y. Sokoltsov3651441122
LMay 25 · 01:35V. Kobets36811981Y. Sokoltsov4211911113
WMay 12 · 23:35V. Kobets4291111113Y. Sokoltsov34117971
WApr 14 · 23:35V. Kobets331111113Y. Sokoltsov136160
V. Kobets10
LSep 15 · 13:55V. Kobets1.8061011121S. Khandetskyi1.9111125143WSep 15 · 03:05V. Kobets1.4451111113D. Rehotun2.63118561LSep 15 · 01:35V. Kobets2.3811660H. Kulishov1.531311113LSep 15 · 24:05V. Kobets3.759850K. Hrynenko1.251111113LSep 14 · 22:35V. Kobets2.10111511782O. Melashenko1.67717611113LSep 14 · 21:05V. Kobets1.73119111162S. Khandetskyi2.00411113113WSep 9 · 20:25V. Kobets4.501111113K. Hrynenko1.179750WSep 9 · 18:25O. Melashenko1.5711711782V. Kobets2.25811611113WSep 9 · 16:25S. Khandetskyi2.00115118122V. Kobets1.73611911143LSep 9 · 15:25V. Kobets2.387712111S. Skachenko1.53111110133
Y. Sokoltsov10
WSep 15 · 16:55Y. Sokoltsov1.911111113S. Khandetskyi1.805520LSep 15 · 14:25Y. Sokoltsov2.254740O. Melashenko1.571111113WSep 14 · 03:35Y. Sokoltsov1.5051112113M. Skliar2.501171071LSep 14 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.67119511113Y. Sokoltsov2.1091111182WSep 14 · 24:35Y. Sokoltsov1.7391111123D. Kim2.001184101WSep 13 · 23:35S. Pitsyk1.806790Y. Sokoltsov1.911111113LSep 13 · 22:05Y. Sokoltsov2.6314550H. Kulishov1.441611113WSep 10 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.401111157113M. Skliar2.7576171192WSep 10 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov1.91912211113Y. Stepanchuk1.80111011792WSep 10 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov2.631012911113H. Kulishov1.44121011982
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