TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131380
Played Sep 15Finished
Vitalii Kaganovych
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311811811––––
Anton Yakovenko
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:44 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAnton Yakovenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Kaganovych above · Anton Yakovenko below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 52 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Anton Yakovenko at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Kaganovych 18–21 Anton Yakovenko Vitalii Kaganovych has won 18 of their 39 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:44What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Yakovenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-21 in 39
Yakovenko
Correct
gap of 3 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kaganovych 1484 vs Yakovenko 1422
Kaganovych
Wrong
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kaganovych 100% vs Yakovenko 20%
Kaganovych
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kaganovych 70% vs Yakovenko 30%
Kaganovych
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kaganovych +5 · Yakovenko +1
Kaganovych
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kaganovych) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yakovenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaganovych 2.00 / Yakovenko 1.73
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Yakovenko)-7.7pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13131380
Kaganovych2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 21 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back28% 8 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Yakovenko1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 24 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it80% 20 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKaganovych3wins
AwayYakovenko7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderYakovenko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKaganovychn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayYakovenko87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kaganovych2Yakovenko8n = 10Yakovenko took 8 of 10
S2Kaganovych4Yakovenko6n = 10Yakovenko took 6 of 10
S3Kaganovych6Yakovenko4n = 10Kaganovych took 6 of 10
S4Kaganovych0Yakovenko4n = 4Yakovenko took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricKaganovychYakovenkoK − YBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match31.834.4−2.6per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaganovychYakovenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime342 / 550 vs 237 / 47462.2%50%342 / 550 vs 237 / 474Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YakovenkoKaganovych 2.00/Yakovenko 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kaganovych · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Yakovenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 22 · 13:55V. Kaganovych31941171A. Yakovenko4211119113
LJul 20 · 16:25V. Kaganovych269890A. Yakovenko331111113
LJul 10 · 16:25V. Kaganovych248880A. Yakovenko331111113
WJun 30 · 17:35V. Kaganovych351111133A. Yakovenko2045110
LJun 23 · 19:05V. Kaganovych249690A. Yakovenko331111113
LMay 20 · 19:55V. Kaganovych32841191A. Yakovenko3811115113
WMar 3 · 20:35V. Kaganovych331111113A. Yakovenko189630
LFeb 9 · 19:25V. Kaganovych1711060A. Yakovenko341112113
WFeb 4 · 17:05V. Kaganovych526111211123A. Yakovenko511171013102
LSep 10 · 19:05V. Kaganovych4471111872A. Yakovenko42114611103
V. Kaganovych10
LSep 15 · 18:35V. Kaganovych1.61511981F. Chashchin2.2011811113WSep 15 · 15:35V. Kaganovych1.5011911113V. Hainiuk2.50811891WSep 15 · 14:05V. Kaganovych1.5711511113I. Elfemov2.25911871WSep 15 · 12:35V. Kaganovych1.61911711113A. Lifanov2.2011911942WSep 14 · 19:35V. Hainiuk2.501071261V. Kaganovych1.50121110113WSep 14 · 18:05V. Kaganovych1.367111011113V. Sydorenko3.0011712372LSep 14 · 16:05V. Sharpai2.001112113V. Kaganovych1.7371060LSep 14 · 14:05O. Korobov1.611111123V. Kaganovych2.2069100WSep 14 · 13:05I. Elfemov2.2511871192V. Kaganovych1.57711116113LSep 11 · 19:35V. Kaganovych1.4013138101V. Sydorenko2.75151111123
A. Yakovenko10
WSep 15 · 16:05A. Yakovenko1.3381111123I. Elfemov3.251148101LSep 15 · 15:05F. Chashchin3.4081111113A. Yakovenko1.30119481LSep 15 · 13:35A. Yakovenko1.571141291V. Hainiuk2.2581114113LSep 1 · 03:05A. Yakovenko3.401412241H. Kulishov1.30121411113LSep 1 · 01:35A. Yakovenko2.38591171M. Fomin1.5311117113WSep 1 · 24:05A. Yakovenko1.5711811123M. Skliar2.257119101WAug 31 · 22:35A. Yakovenko2.0041111113A. Peretiatko1.73118691LAug 31 · 21:05A. Yakovenko2.10119101362D. Kim1.677111211113LAug 28 · 03:05V. Kobets1.30811137113A. Yakovenko3.40113111172LAug 28 · 02:05A. Yakovenko3.40191161H. Kulishov1.3011118113
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