TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13129746
Played Sep 15Finished
David Mikula
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118115114––––
Zbynek Zientek
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:31 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeDavid Mikula to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Mikula above · Zbynek Zientek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 50 set 3, 11-4 — our read held David Mikula at 59.0%
50 points played in total.
H2H David Mikula 5–4 Zbynek Zientek Zbynek Zientek has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:31What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Mikula
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mikula 1241 vs Zientek 1294
Zientek
Wrong
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mikula 20% vs Zientek 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mikula 20% vs Zientek 40%
Zientek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mikula -1 · Zientek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Mikula) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zientek form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMikula 1.53 / Zientek 2.38
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Mikula)-2.4pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13129746
Mikula1.53
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite65% won 37 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it93% 25 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it90% 34 of 38
Zientek2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog51% won 85 of 168
Down 0–1, comes back34% 32 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back20% 10 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeMikula5wins
AwayZientek4wins
1 of 9 to a deciderMikula leads 5–4, and 1 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMikula80%4 of 5
AwayZientek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mikula5Zientek4n = 9Mikula took 5 of 9
S2Mikula5Zientek4n = 9Mikula took 5 of 9
S3Mikula4Zientek5n = 9Zientek took 5 of 9
S4Mikula4Zientek1n = 5Mikula took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricMikulaZientekM − ZBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match36.934.7+2.2per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMikulaZientekBasisWin rate · lifetime166 / 360 vs 192 / 39346.1%48.9%166 / 360 vs 192 / 393Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MikulaMikula 1.53/Zientek 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.4%
Mikula · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mikula won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 24 · 18:30D. Mikula4113116113Z. Zientek341191131
WJul 15 · 07:00D. Mikula331111113Z. Zientek239770
LJul 13 · 18:00D. Mikula357611111Z. Zientek4411119133
WJul 9 · 08:30D. Mikula4591112133Z. Zientek3811610111
LJul 3 · 09:00D. Mikula2881190Z. Zientek351113113
WJul 3 · 07:00D. Mikula4011117113Z. Zientek27551161
LJun 4 · 09:30D. Mikula2999110Z. Zientek351111133
LJun 4 · 06:00D. Mikula4812981182Z. Zientek511011118113
WDec 15 · 15:00D. Mikula331111113Z. Zientek257990
D. Mikula10
LSep 15 · 07:30D. Tyn2.25111011113D. Mikula1.57712981WSep 15 · 06:00D. Mikula1.67117811113V. Kocian2.1061111542LSep 9 · 09:00J. Stach1.70131212113D. Mikula2.0011101491LSep 9 · 08:30D. Mikula1.9181171362E. Sionkala1.801191111113LSep 9 · 07:00D. Mikula2.6351111962J. Stach1.44115711113LSep 9 · 06:00F. Zurek2.001113124113D. Mikula1.73511141162LSep 6 · 13:05F. Zurek1.7311911113D. Mikula2.00911771LSep 6 · 12:00F. Zurek2.201115113D. Mikula1.6161360WSep 6 · 11:00T. Hrabec2.0012911101D. Mikula1.7314118123LSep 6 · 10:30D. Mikula1.5096100M. Kolek2.501111123
Z. Zientek10
LSep 15 · 06:30Z. Zientek1.671197101D. Tyn2.1091111123WSep 13 · 13:00R. Guliak1.47131159102Z. Zientek2.351191111123LSep 13 · 12:30T. Hrabec1.801111123Z. Zientek1.9168100LSep 13 · 11:30Z. Zientek2.2010890R. Guliak1.611211113LSep 13 · 10:30D. Priesol1.8011114113Z. Zientek1.91811191WSep 2 · 09:30P. Varecha1.60761271Z. Zientek2.20111110113LSep 2 · 08:30A. Virag1.571111123Z. Zientek2.2577100WSep 2 · 07:30Z. Zientek2.50114911113P. Varecha1.5071111752WSep 2 · 06:30E. Sionkala1.36149571Z. Zientek3.00121111113LAug 30 · 09:00R. Kvasnicka1.61611711123Z. Zientek2.20117114102
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