TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13098103
Played Sep 9Finished
Filip Zurek
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11513111214411116
David Mikula
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:01 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFilip Zurek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Zurek above · David Mikula below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 98 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Filip Zurek at 54.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Filip Zurek 7–12 David Mikula Filip Zurek has won 7 of their 19 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:01What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Mikula
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-12 in 19
Mikula
Wrong
gap of 5 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zurek 1460 vs Mikula 1258
Zurek
Correct
both rated, 201 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zurek 60% vs Mikula 20%
Zurek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zurek 50% vs Mikula 20%
Zurek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zurek -2 · Mikula -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mikula) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mikula form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZurek 2.00 / Mikula 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Mikula)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13098103
Zurek2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog48% won 118 of 244
Down 0–1, comes back33% 42 of 129
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 61
Mikula1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 41 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it93% 28 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it90% 37 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZurek5wins
AwayMikula5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZurek75%3 of 4
AwayMikula66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zurek4Mikula6n = 10Mikula took 6 of 10
S2Zurek5Mikula5n = 10split evenly
S3Zurek4Mikula6n = 10Mikula took 6 of 10
S4Zurek3Mikula5n = 8Mikula took 5 of 8
S5Zurek3Mikula0n = 3Zurek took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZurekMikulaZ − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.841.1−0.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZurekMikulaBasisWin rate · lifetime294 / 584 vs 166 / 36350.3%45.7%294 / 584 vs 166 / 363Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MikulaZurek 2.00/Mikula 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Mikula · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zurek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 06:00F. Zurek—1113124113D. Mikula—511141162
WSep 6 · 13:05F. Zurek—11911113D. Mikula—911771
WSep 6 · 12:00F. Zurek—1115113D. Mikula—61360
WSep 1 · 08:00F. Zurek—911714123D. Mikula—1171112102
LAug 28 · 15:30F. Zurek—7101181D. Mikula—11123113
WAug 24 · 21:28F. Zurek—761111123D. Mikula—111157102
LAug 24 · 20:00F. Zurek—7111891D. Mikula—11820113
LAug 5 · 08:58F. Zurek—1012781D. Mikula—121011113
LAug 5 · 07:00F. Zurek—117771D. Mikula—81111113
LAug 1 · 10:00F. Zurek—105130D. Mikula—1211153
F. Zurek10
LSep 8 · 13:30M. Kolek1.831471111113F. Zurek1.8316116872LSep 8 · 12:00M. Kolek2.101111113F. Zurek1.675440WSep 8 · 11:00E. Sionkala1.91114124152F. Zurek1.803111011173WSep 8 · 10:30F. Zurek1.8391311113A. Virag1.831111691WSep 6 · 13:05F. Zurek1.7311911113D. Mikula2.00911771WSep 6 · 12:00F. Zurek2.201115113D. Mikula1.6161360LSep 6 · 11:30M. Kolek2.381211711113F. Zurek1.5314611952LSep 6 · 10:00F. Zurek1.4411510161T. Hrabec2.6341112183WSep 5 · 21:02M. Blejchar1.44721171F. Zurek2.6311117113LSep 5 · 20:30R. Guliak1.919111011113F. Zurek1.8011812862
D. Mikula10
LSep 6 · 13:05F. Zurek1.7311911113D. Mikula2.00911771LSep 6 · 12:00F. Zurek2.201115113D. Mikula1.6161360WSep 6 · 11:00T. Hrabec2.0012911101D. Mikula1.7314118123LSep 6 · 10:30D. Mikula1.5096100M. Kolek2.501111123LSep 1 · 08:58D. Mikula2.203840J. Stach1.611111113LSep 1 · 08:00D. Mikula1.441171112102F. Zurek2.63911714123LSep 1 · 07:30P. Varecha1.611111113D. Mikula2.206770WSep 1 · 06:00D. Mikula2.63111110113J. Stach1.44581221LAug 28 · 17:29D. Mikula1.836850V. Cerny1.831111113LAug 28 · 16:00D. Mikula1.91918481V. Cerny1.80111611113
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