Jiri Stach vs David Mikula 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13103151

Played Sep 9Finished

Jiri Stach

Home

1.70

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

131112101214119––

David Mikula

Away

2.00

At publish

Lost last 5

Form at publish

1–9Last 10Lost last 5

How it is goingJiri Stach above · David Mikula below

Set 1 · 13-11

Set 2 · 12-10

Set 3 · 12-14

Set 4 · 11-9

Point 92 set 4, 11-9

92 points played in total.

H2H Jiri Stach 13–3 David Mikula David Mikula has won 3 of their 16 meetings.

Last 10 · 8–2Same sideHead to head

Same-day rematch · 2h before this match

Stach beat Mikula 3-2.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Stach)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Mikula form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsStach 1.70 / Mikula 2.00

Signal prob.56% / 44%

Edge (Stach)+1.6pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13103151

Stach1.70

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite59% won 35 of 59

Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21

Up 1–0, closes it91% 29 of 32

Mikula2.00

10%won 1 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 5

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As underdog36% won 30 of 83

Down 0–1, comes back20% 10 of 51

Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 28

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeStach8wins

AwayMikula2wins

3 of 10 to a deciderStach leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeStach87.5%7 of 8

AwayMikulan = 2, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Stach8Mikula2n = 10Stach took 8 of 10

S2Stach5Mikula5n = 10split evenly

S3Stach7Mikula3n = 10Stach took 7 of 10

S4Stach3Mikula3n = 6split evenly

S5Stach3Mikula0n = 3Stach took 3 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home440%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricStachMikulaS − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.832.2+4.6per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricStachMikulaBasisWin rate · lifetime145 / 314 vs 166 / 36546.2%45.5%145 / 314 vs 166 / 365Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.6per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Stach

Stach 1.70/Mikula 2.00

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

55.7%

Stach · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Stach won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 9 · 07:00J. Stach—115711113D. Mikula—51111962

WSep 1 · 08:58J. Stach—1111113D. Mikula—3840

LSep 1 · 06:00J. Stach—581221D. Mikula—111110113

WAug 23 · 13:00J. Stach—11411113D. Mikula—911861

WAug 23 · 10:00J. Stach—811511113D. Mikula—11711792

WAug 5 · 08:30J. Stach—1111113D. Mikula—5770

WAug 4 · 17:29J. Stach—119119133D. Mikula—311211112

LAug 4 · 16:00J. Stach—111951D. Mikula—61111113

WJul 3 · 08:00J. Stach—1311113D. Mikula—11780

WJul 2 · 08:30J. Stach—1111113D. Mikula—8580

J. Stach10

LSep 9 · 08:00F. Zurek1.831111113J. Stach1.838830 WSep 9 · 07:00D. Mikula2.6351111962J. Stach1.44115711113 LSep 9 · 06:30J. Stach2.1071150E. Sionkala1.671113113 WSep 5 · 20:58M. Jasek1.73881112112J. Stach2.001111810133 LSep 5 · 20:30M. Jasek1.911115113J. Stach1.8061370 LSep 5 · 19:30J. Stach2.5087110I. Taichman1.501111133 LSep 5 · 18:30T. Kraninger1.801011811113J. Stach1.9112711872 WSep 1 · 08:58D. Mikula2.203840J. Stach1.611111113 WSep 1 · 08:30J. Stach1.7391111113P. Varecha2.00114471 LSep 1 · 07:00J. Stach1.619650F. Zurek2.201111113

D. Mikula10

LSep 9 · 08:30D. Mikula1.9181171362E. Sionkala1.801191111113 LSep 9 · 07:00D. Mikula2.6351111962J. Stach1.44115711113 LSep 9 · 06:00F. Zurek2.001113124113D. Mikula1.73511141162 LSep 6 · 13:05F. Zurek1.7311911113D. Mikula2.00911771 LSep 6 · 12:00F. Zurek2.201115113D. Mikula1.6161360 WSep 6 · 11:00T. Hrabec2.0012911101D. Mikula1.7314118123 LSep 6 · 10:30D. Mikula1.5096100M. Kolek2.501111123 LSep 1 · 08:58D. Mikula2.203840J. Stach1.611111113 LSep 1 · 08:00D. Mikula1.441171112102F. Zurek2.63911714123 LSep 1 · 07:30P. Varecha1.611111113D. Mikula2.206770

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