TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13098141
Played Sep 9Finished
David Mikula
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111197111311611
Eduard Sionkala
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:11 and never touched — 57.9% is still 57.9%
Graded at full timeEduard Sionkala to win
57.9%
57.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Mikula above · Eduard Sionkala below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 98 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Eduard Sionkala at 57.9%
98 points played in total.
H2H David Mikula 2–1 Eduard Sionkala Eduard Sionkala has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:11What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sionkala
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mikula 1250 vs Sionkala 1392
Sionkala
Correct
both rated, 142 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mikula 20% vs Sionkala 60%
Sionkala
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mikula 20% vs Sionkala 50%
Sionkala
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mikula -4 · Sionkala -1
Mikula
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sionkala) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mikula form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMikula 1.91 / Sionkala 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sionkala)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13098141
Mikula1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 30 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back20% 10 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 28
Sionkala1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 29 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it84% 16 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it63% 20 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMikula2wins
AwaySionkala1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderMikula leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mikula1Sionkala2n = 3Sionkala took 2 of 3
S2Mikula2Sionkala1n = 3Mikula took 2 of 3
S3Mikula1Sionkala2n = 3Sionkala took 2 of 3
S4Mikula2Sionkala1n = 3Mikula took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricMikulaSionkalaM − SBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match41.041.3−0.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMikulaSionkalaBasisWin rate · lifetime166 / 364 vs 76 / 15745.6%48.4%166 / 364 vs 76 / 157Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SionkalaMikula 1.91/Sionkala 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sionkala · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sionkala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WMay 19 · 08:00D. Mikula—791111113E. Sionkala—11118782
LNov 6 · 09:57D. Mikula—1211451E. Sionkala—14711113
WNov 6 · 07:00D. Mikula—11128113E. Sionkala—9101161
D. Mikula10
LSep 9 · 07:00D. Mikula2.6351111962J. Stach1.44115711113LSep 9 · 06:00F. Zurek2.001113124113D. Mikula1.73511141162LSep 6 · 13:05F. Zurek1.7311911113D. Mikula2.00911771LSep 6 · 12:00F. Zurek2.201115113D. Mikula1.6161360WSep 6 · 11:00T. Hrabec2.0012911101D. Mikula1.7314118123LSep 6 · 10:30D. Mikula1.5096100M. Kolek2.501111123LSep 1 · 08:58D. Mikula2.203840J. Stach1.611111113LSep 1 · 08:00D. Mikula1.441171112102F. Zurek2.63911714123LSep 1 · 07:30P. Varecha1.611111113D. Mikula2.206770WSep 1 · 06:00D. Mikula2.63111110113J. Stach1.44581221
E. Sionkala10
LSep 9 · 07:30E. Sionkala1.8311127742F. Zurek1.835101111113WSep 9 · 06:30J. Stach2.1071150E. Sionkala1.671113113WSep 8 · 12:59E. Sionkala1.6751111113A. Virag2.10115371WSep 8 · 12:30E. Sionkala1.441111113A. Virag2.638770LSep 8 · 11:00E. Sionkala1.91114124152F. Zurek1.803111011173LSep 8 · 10:00M. Kolek1.911191111113E. Sionkala1.8013116782WSep 2 · 09:00E. Sionkala1.44811811113A. Virag2.6311811952LSep 2 · 08:00P. Varecha1.73111011113E. Sionkala2.00512781WSep 2 · 07:00A. Virag2.2091020E. Sionkala1.611112113LSep 2 · 06:30E. Sionkala1.36149571Z. Zientek3.00121111113
Upcoming Matches
D. Mikula
Nothing scheduled
E. Sionkala1 of 1 neutral
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