TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092925
Played Sep 8Finished
Eduard Sionkala
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118117117––––
Alexandr Virag
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:38 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeEduard Sionkala to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingEduard Sionkala above · Alexandr Virag below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 55 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Eduard Sionkala at 66.1%
55 points played in total.
H2H Eduard Sionkala 11–4 Alexandr Virag Alexandr Virag has won 4 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:38What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Sionkala
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-4 in 15
Sionkala
Correct
gap of 7 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sionkala 1317 vs Virag 1335
Virag
Wrong
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sionkala 40% vs Virag 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sionkala 20% vs Virag 50%
Virag
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sionkala -2 · Virag +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Sionkala)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sionkala form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSionkala 1.44 / Virag 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Sionkala)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092925
Sionkala1.44
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 27 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it63% 19 of 30
Virag2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog24% won 11 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back12% 3 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSionkala8wins
AwayVirag2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSionkala leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSionkala85.7%6 of 7
AwayVirag33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sionkala7Virag3n = 10Sionkala took 7 of 10
S2Sionkala5Virag5n = 10split evenly
S3Sionkala7Virag3n = 10Sionkala took 7 of 10
S4Sionkala5Virag1n = 6Sionkala took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSionkalaViragS − VBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.832.7+6.1per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSionkalaViragBasisWin rate · lifetime73 / 153 vs 133 / 28147.7%47.3%73 / 153 vs 133 / 281Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SionkalaSionkala 1.44/Virag 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Sionkala · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sionkala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 09:00E. Sionkala—811811113A. Virag—11811952
WSep 2 · 07:00E. Sionkala—1112113A. Virag—91020
LJun 8 · 06:00E. Sionkala—17116101A. Virag—151311123
WMay 27 · 11:30E. Sionkala—71111113A. Virag—117861
WApr 16 · 08:30E. Sionkala—111311113A. Virag—715191
WApr 9 · 12:30E. Sionkala—11911113A. Virag—411581
WApr 8 · 08:59E. Sionkala—1111113A. Virag—8990
WApr 8 · 08:00E. Sionkala—1211113A. Virag—10890
WMar 17 · 07:30E. Sionkala—11811123A. Virag—7113101
LMar 3 · 12:00E. Sionkala—51180A. Virag—1113113
E. Sionkala10
WSep 8 · 12:59E. Sionkala1.6751111113A. Virag2.10115371LSep 8 · 11:00E. Sionkala1.91114124152F. Zurek1.803111011173LSep 8 · 10:00M. Kolek1.911191111113E. Sionkala1.8013116782WSep 2 · 09:00E. Sionkala1.44811811113A. Virag2.6311811952LSep 2 · 08:00P. Varecha1.73111011113E. Sionkala2.00512781WSep 2 · 07:00A. Virag2.2091020E. Sionkala1.611112113LSep 2 · 06:30E. Sionkala1.36149571Z. Zientek3.00121111113LJul 31 · 08:59J. Stach2.20811117113E. Sionkala1.6111281172LJul 31 · 08:30J. Stach2.38311411123E. Sionkala1.53116116102LJul 31 · 07:30E. Sionkala1.6761220F. Zurek2.101114113
A. Virag10
LSep 8 · 12:59E. Sionkala1.6751111113A. Virag2.10115371WSep 8 · 11:30A. Virag1.6781116113M. Kolek2.101151461LSep 8 · 10:30F. Zurek1.8391311113A. Virag1.831111691LSep 2 · 09:00E. Sionkala1.44811811113A. Virag2.6311811952WSep 2 · 08:30A. Virag1.571111123Z. Zientek2.2577100LSep 2 · 07:00A. Virag2.2091020E. Sionkala1.611112113LSep 2 · 06:00P. Varecha1.251111123A. Virag3.7587100WAug 22 · 09:30M. Kolek1.805811121A. Virag1.9111113143LAug 22 · 08:30M. Kolek2.101111113A. Virag1.679760WAug 22 · 07:30A. Virag2.001141110113F. Zurek1.7361141272
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