TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13099022
Played Sep 8Finished
Eduard Sionkala
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
511115113117––
Alexandr Virag
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingEduard Sionkala above · Alexandr Virag below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 64 set 4, 11-7
64 points played in total.
H2H Eduard Sionkala 12–4 Alexandr Virag Alexandr Virag has won 4 of their 16 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Sionkala beat Virag 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Sionkala)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sionkala form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSionkala 1.67 / Virag 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Sionkala)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13099022
Sionkala1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite52% won 27 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it63% 19 of 30
Virag2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog24% won 11 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back12% 3 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSionkala9wins
AwayVirag1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSionkala leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSionkala87.5%7 of 8
AwayViragn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sionkala8Virag2n = 10Sionkala took 8 of 10
S2Sionkala6Virag4n = 10Sionkala took 6 of 10
S3Sionkala8Virag2n = 10Sionkala took 8 of 10
S4Sionkala5Virag1n = 6Sionkala took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSionkalaViragS − VBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.731.4+8.3per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSionkalaViragBasisWin rate · lifetime73 / 153 vs 133 / 28147.7%47.3%73 / 153 vs 133 / 281Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SionkalaSionkala 1.67/Virag 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.4%
Sionkala · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sionkala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 12:30E. Sionkala—1111113A. Virag—8770
WSep 2 · 09:00E. Sionkala—811811113A. Virag—11811952
WSep 2 · 07:00E. Sionkala—1112113A. Virag—91020
LJun 8 · 06:00E. Sionkala—17116101A. Virag—151311123
WMay 27 · 11:30E. Sionkala—71111113A. Virag—117861
WApr 16 · 08:30E. Sionkala—111311113A. Virag—715191
WApr 9 · 12:30E. Sionkala—11911113A. Virag—411581
WApr 8 · 08:59E. Sionkala—1111113A. Virag—8990
WApr 8 · 08:00E. Sionkala—1211113A. Virag—10890
WMar 17 · 07:30E. Sionkala—11811123A. Virag—7113101
E. Sionkala10
WSep 8 · 12:30E. Sionkala1.441111113A. Virag2.638770LSep 8 · 11:00E. Sionkala1.91114124152F. Zurek1.803111011173LSep 8 · 10:00M. Kolek1.911191111113E. Sionkala1.8013116782WSep 2 · 09:00E. Sionkala1.44811811113A. Virag2.6311811952LSep 2 · 08:00P. Varecha1.73111011113E. Sionkala2.00512781WSep 2 · 07:00A. Virag2.2091020E. Sionkala1.611112113LSep 2 · 06:30E. Sionkala1.36149571Z. Zientek3.00121111113LJul 31 · 08:59J. Stach2.20811117113E. Sionkala1.6111281172LJul 31 · 08:30J. Stach2.38311411123E. Sionkala1.53116116102LJul 31 · 07:30E. Sionkala1.6761220F. Zurek2.101114113
A. Virag10
LSep 8 · 12:30E. Sionkala1.441111113A. Virag2.638770WSep 8 · 11:30A. Virag1.6781116113M. Kolek2.101151461LSep 8 · 10:30F. Zurek1.8391311113A. Virag1.831111691LSep 2 · 09:00E. Sionkala1.44811811113A. Virag2.6311811952WSep 2 · 08:30A. Virag1.571111123Z. Zientek2.2577100LSep 2 · 07:00A. Virag2.2091020E. Sionkala1.611112113LSep 2 · 06:00P. Varecha1.251111123A. Virag3.7587100WAug 22 · 09:30M. Kolek1.805811121A. Virag1.9111113143LAug 22 · 08:30M. Kolek2.101111113A. Virag1.679760WAug 22 · 07:30A. Virag2.001141110113F. Zurek1.7361141272
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