TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13098787
Played Sep 9Finished
David Mikula
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511115117911611
Jiri Stach
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:59 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeJiri Stach to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Mikula above · Jiri Stach below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 87 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Jiri Stach at 66.1%
87 points played in total.
H2H David Mikula 3–13 Jiri Stach David Mikula has won 3 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:59What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Stach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-13 in 16
Stach
Correct
gap of 10 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mikula 1250 vs Stach 1359
Stach
Correct
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mikula 20% vs Stach 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mikula 20% vs Stach 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mikula -3 · Stach -1
Mikula
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Stach) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stach form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMikula 2.63 / Stach 1.44
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Stach)-0.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13098787
Mikula2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 30 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back20% 10 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 28
Stach1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 35 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it91% 29 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMikula2wins
AwayStach8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStach leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMikulan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayStach87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mikula2Stach8n = 10Stach took 8 of 10
S2Mikula5Stach5n = 10split evenly
S3Mikula3Stach7n = 10Stach took 7 of 10
S4Mikula3Stach3n = 6split evenly
S5Mikula0Stach3n = 3Stach took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricMikulaStachM − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match32.236.8−4.6per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMikulaStachBasisWin rate · lifetime166 / 364 vs 145 / 31345.6%46.3%166 / 364 vs 145 / 313Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StachMikula 2.63/Stach 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.9%
Stach · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Stach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 07:00D. Mikula—51111962J. Stach—115711113
LSep 1 · 08:58D. Mikula—3840J. Stach—1111113
WSep 1 · 06:00D. Mikula—111110113J. Stach—581221
LAug 23 · 13:00D. Mikula—911861J. Stach—11411113
LAug 23 · 10:00D. Mikula—11711792J. Stach—811511113
LAug 5 · 08:30D. Mikula—5770J. Stach—1111113
LAug 4 · 17:29D. Mikula—311211112J. Stach—119119133
WAug 4 · 16:00D. Mikula—61111113J. Stach—111951
LJul 3 · 08:00D. Mikula—11780J. Stach—1311113
LJul 2 · 08:30D. Mikula—8580J. Stach—1111113
D. Mikula10
LSep 9 · 06:00F. Zurek2.001113124113D. Mikula1.73511141162LSep 6 · 13:05F. Zurek1.7311911113D. Mikula2.00911771LSep 6 · 12:00F. Zurek2.201115113D. Mikula1.6161360WSep 6 · 11:00T. Hrabec2.0012911101D. Mikula1.7314118123LSep 6 · 10:30D. Mikula1.5096100M. Kolek2.501111123LSep 1 · 08:58D. Mikula2.203840J. Stach1.611111113LSep 1 · 08:00D. Mikula1.441171112102F. Zurek2.63911714123LSep 1 · 07:30P. Varecha1.611111113D. Mikula2.206770WSep 1 · 06:00D. Mikula2.63111110113J. Stach1.44581221LAug 28 · 17:29D. Mikula1.836850V. Cerny1.831111113
J. Stach10
LSep 9 · 06:30J. Stach2.1071150E. Sionkala1.671113113WSep 5 · 20:58M. Jasek1.73881112112J. Stach2.001111810133LSep 5 · 20:30M. Jasek1.911115113J. Stach1.8061370LSep 5 · 19:30J. Stach2.5087110I. Taichman1.501111133LSep 5 · 18:30T. Kraninger1.801011811113J. Stach1.9112711872WSep 1 · 08:58D. Mikula2.203840J. Stach1.611111113WSep 1 · 08:30J. Stach1.7391111113P. Varecha2.00114471LSep 1 · 07:00J. Stach1.619650F. Zurek2.201111113LSep 1 · 06:00D. Mikula2.63111110113J. Stach1.44581221LAug 25 · 13:30V. Cerny1.40121177113J. Stach2.75106111152
Upcoming Matches
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J. Stach
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