TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13098224
Played Sep 9Finished
Filip Zurek
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118118113––––
Jiri Stach
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:41 and never touched — 55.4% is still 55.4%
Graded at full timeJiri Stach to win
55.4%
55.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFilip Zurek above · Jiri Stach below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 52 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Jiri Stach at 55.4%
52 points played in total.
H2H Filip Zurek 3–8 Jiri Stach Filip Zurek has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:41What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Stach
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-8 in 11
Stach
Wrong
gap of 5 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zurek 1469 vs Stach 1359
Zurek
Correct
both rated, 110 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zurek 60% vs Stach 40%
Zurek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zurek 60% vs Stach 40%
Zurek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zurek +2 · Stach +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zurek) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stach form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZurek 1.83 / Stach 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zurek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13098224
Zurek1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Stach1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZurek3wins
AwayStach7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStach leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZurek40%2 of 5
AwayStach80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zurek5Stach5n = 10split evenly
S2Zurek4Stach6n = 10Stach took 6 of 10
S3Zurek6Stach4n = 10Zurek took 6 of 10
S4Zurek2Stach6n = 8Stach took 6 of 8
S5Zurek1Stach3n = 4Stach took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZurekStachZ − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.440.8−3.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZurekStachBasisWin rate · lifetime295 / 585 vs 145 / 31350.4%46.3%295 / 585 vs 145 / 313Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZurekZurek 1.83/Stach 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Zurek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zurek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 07:00F. Zurek—1111113J. Stach—9650
WAug 25 · 12:30F. Zurek—116119113J. Stach—51161192
LAug 5 · 06:30F. Zurek—139111362J. Stach—1111315113
LJul 31 · 06:00F. Zurek—11115762J. Stach—991111113
LJul 25 · 16:00F. Zurek—871161J. Stach—11118113
LJul 22 · 21:00F. Zurek—511381J. Stach—11711113
LJul 22 · 18:30F. Zurek—119141162J. Stach—811168113
WJul 2 · 09:28F. Zurek—71111113J. Stach—116981
LJul 2 · 07:00F. Zurek—771191J. Stach—11119113
LMay 29 · 17:00F. Zurek—3770J. Stach—1111113
F. Zurek10
WSep 9 · 07:30E. Sionkala1.8311127742F. Zurek1.835101111113WSep 9 · 06:00F. Zurek2.001113124113D. Mikula1.73511141162LSep 8 · 13:30M. Kolek1.831471111113F. Zurek1.8316116872LSep 8 · 12:00M. Kolek2.101111113F. Zurek1.675440WSep 8 · 11:00E. Sionkala1.91114124152F. Zurek1.803111011173WSep 8 · 10:30F. Zurek1.8391311113A. Virag1.831111691WSep 6 · 13:05F. Zurek1.7311911113D. Mikula2.00911771WSep 6 · 12:00F. Zurek2.201115113D. Mikula1.6161360LSep 6 · 11:30M. Kolek2.381211711113F. Zurek1.5314611952LSep 6 · 10:00F. Zurek1.4411510161T. Hrabec2.6341112183
J. Stach10
WSep 9 · 07:00D. Mikula2.6351111962J. Stach1.44115711113LSep 9 · 06:30J. Stach2.1071150E. Sionkala1.671113113WSep 5 · 20:58M. Jasek1.73881112112J. Stach2.001111810133LSep 5 · 20:30M. Jasek1.911115113J. Stach1.8061370LSep 5 · 19:30J. Stach2.5087110I. Taichman1.501111133LSep 5 · 18:30T. Kraninger1.801011811113J. Stach1.9112711872WSep 1 · 08:58D. Mikula2.203840J. Stach1.611111113WSep 1 · 08:30J. Stach1.7391111113P. Varecha2.00114471LSep 1 · 07:00J. Stach1.619650F. Zurek2.201111113LSep 1 · 06:00D. Mikula2.63111110113J. Stach1.44581221
Upcoming Matches
F. Zurek1 of 1 neutral
J. Stach
Nothing scheduled
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