TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13128914
Played Sep 15Finished
Zbynek Zientek
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1199117111012––
Daniel Tyn
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:02 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeDaniel Tyn to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZbynek Zientek above · Daniel Tyn below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 80 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Daniel Tyn at 56.5%
80 points played in total.
H2H Zbynek Zientek 12–13 Daniel Tyn Zbynek Zientek has won 12 of their 25 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:02What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Zientek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-13 in 25
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zientek 1304 vs Tyn 1374
Tyn
Correct
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zientek 40% vs Tyn 80%
Tyn
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zientek 40% vs Tyn 70%
Tyn
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zientek +1 · Tyn +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zientek) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tyn form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZientek 1.67 / Tyn 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zientek)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13128914
Zientek1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite48% won 44 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it93% 28 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it71% 37 of 52
Tyn2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 36 of 80
Down 0–1, comes back27% 12 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZientek5wins
AwayTyn5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZientek62.5%5 of 8
AwayTynn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zientek8Tyn2n = 10Zientek took 8 of 10
S2Zientek7Tyn3n = 10Zientek took 7 of 10
S3Zientek4Tyn6n = 10Tyn took 6 of 10
S4Zientek3Tyn5n = 8Tyn took 5 of 8
S5Zientek1Tyn3n = 4Tyn took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZientekTynZ − TBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.838.9+2.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZientekTynBasisWin rate · lifetime192 / 392 vs 133 / 28149%47.3%192 / 392 vs 133 / 281Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZientekZientek 1.67/Tyn 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zientek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Tyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 06:30Z. Zientek371197101D. Tyn4391111123
WAug 28 · 20:59Z. Zientek561114109123D. Tyn538121211102
WAug 28 · 20:30Z. Zientek4517116113D. Tyn381561161
WAug 20 · 20:00Z. Zientek4211911113D. Tyn28611741
WAug 17 · 13:28Z. Zientek331111113D. Tyn248790
LAug 17 · 11:00Z. Zientek47111112582D. Tyn53891411113
LAug 13 · 07:30Z. Zientek43512511102D. Tyn521110118123
WAug 6 · 06:00Z. Zientek331111113D. Tyn114430
LJul 26 · 17:28Z. Zientek4611912862D. Tyn485111011113
LJul 26 · 15:30Z. Zientek36911971D. Tyn3911611113
Z. Zientek10
LSep 15 · 07:00V. Kocian1.80811611113Z. Zientek1.9111711662WSep 13 · 13:00R. Guliak1.47131159102Z. Zientek2.351191111123LSep 13 · 12:30T. Hrabec1.801111123Z. Zientek1.9168100LSep 13 · 11:30Z. Zientek2.2010890R. Guliak1.611211113LSep 13 · 10:30D. Priesol1.8011114113Z. Zientek1.91811191WSep 2 · 09:30P. Varecha1.60761271Z. Zientek2.20111110113LSep 2 · 08:30A. Virag1.571111123Z. Zientek2.2577100WSep 2 · 07:30Z. Zientek2.50114911113P. Varecha1.5071111752WSep 2 · 06:30E. Sionkala1.36149571Z. Zientek3.00121111113LAug 30 · 09:00R. Kvasnicka1.61611711123Z. Zientek2.20117114102
D. Tyn10
WSep 10 · 13:30D. Tyn1.851111123V. Kocian1.8556100LSep 10 · 12:30D. Tyn1.80114111052M. Kaspar1.91311612113WSep 10 · 11:00D. Tyn1.37111127113M. Levicky2.6597111172WSep 10 · 10:00V. Kocian1.759129101D. Tyn1.85111011123WSep 7 · 09:30V. Kocian1.57115891D. Tyn2.2591111113WSep 7 · 08:00D. Tyn1.4051412113M. Levicky2.7511121091WSep 7 · 07:30M. Kaspar1.8311811942D. Tyn1.83811611113LSep 7 · 06:00D. Tyn2.001110991V. Kocian1.7351211113LSep 6 · 09:30D. Tyn1.731211471D. Priesol2.00101311113WSep 6 · 08:30D. Tyn1.531111113M. Levicky2.388890
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