TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13091470
Played Sep 7Finished
Vojtech Kocian
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119511811911––
Daniel Tyn
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:57 and never touched — 60.4% is still 60.4%
Graded at full timeVojtech Kocian to win
60.4%
60.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVojtech Kocian above · Daniel Tyn below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 75 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Vojtech Kocian at 60.4%
75 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Kocian 9–3 Daniel Tyn Daniel Tyn has won 3 of their 12 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Kocian beat Tyn 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:57What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kocian
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-3 in 12
Kocian
Wrong
gap of 6 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kocian 1359 vs Tyn 1334
Kocian
Wrong
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kocian 60% vs Tyn 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kocian 70% vs Tyn 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kocian +1 · Tyn +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Kocian)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tyn form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKocian 1.57 / Tyn 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Kocian)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13091470
Kocian1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 44 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it84% 16 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it82% 32 of 39
Tyn2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 39 of 87
Down 0–1, comes back29% 15 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKocian7wins
AwayTyn3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKocian leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKocian75%3 of 4
AwayTyn33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kocian4Tyn6n = 10Tyn took 6 of 10
S2Kocian4Tyn6n = 10Tyn took 6 of 10
S3Kocian7Tyn3n = 10Kocian took 7 of 10
S4Kocian5Tyn4n = 9Kocian took 5 of 9
S5Kocian3Tyn0n = 3Kocian took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKocianTynK − TBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.438.6+0.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKocianTynBasisWin rate · lifetime88 / 168 vs 134 / 28752.4%46.7%88 / 168 vs 134 / 287Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KocianKocian 1.57/Tyn 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.5%
Kocian · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Tyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 06:00V. Kocian—51211113D. Tyn—1110991
LAug 30 · 13:30V. Kocian—95110D. Tyn—1111133
WAug 30 · 12:30V. Kocian—11115113D. Tyn—671191
LAug 22 · 21:28V. Kocian—116761D. Tyn—51111113
WAug 22 · 20:00V. Kocian—981211143D. Tyn—1111105122
LAug 17 · 12:30V. Kocian—671181D. Tyn—11119113
WMay 15 · 18:30V. Kocian—117115113D. Tyn—31191192
WMay 13 · 10:30V. Kocian—4111111113D. Tyn—11871392
WMay 7 · 21:00V. Kocian—81111113D. Tyn—118391
WMay 7 · 18:30V. Kocian—11911113D. Tyn—911261
V. Kocian10
WSep 7 · 08:30V. Kocian1.531111133M. Kaspar2.3886110LSep 7 · 07:00V. Kocian1.7311491172M. Levicky2.00811119113WSep 7 · 06:00D. Tyn2.001110991V. Kocian1.7351211113LAug 30 · 13:30V. Kocian1.7395110D. Tyn2.001111133WAug 30 · 12:30D. Tyn2.10671191V. Kocian1.6711115113WAug 30 · 11:30V. Kocian2.25511119113M. Levicky1.5711541152WAug 30 · 10:30M. Kaspar2.2568111582V. Kocian1.571111913113LAug 22 · 21:28V. Kocian1.57116761D. Tyn2.2551111113WAug 22 · 20:00D. Tyn2.101111105122V. Kocian1.67981211143WAug 22 · 19:00R. Adamczyk2.75131181152V. Kocian1.40159119113
D. Tyn10
WSep 7 · 08:00D. Tyn1.4051412113M. Levicky2.7511121091WSep 7 · 07:30M. Kaspar1.8311811942D. Tyn1.83811611113LSep 7 · 06:00D. Tyn2.001110991V. Kocian1.7351211113LSep 6 · 09:30D. Tyn1.731211471D. Priesol2.00101311113WSep 6 · 08:30D. Tyn1.531111113M. Levicky2.388890WSep 6 · 07:00D. Tyn3.50611125113A. Schneeberger1.28119101192WAug 30 · 13:30V. Kocian1.7395110D. Tyn2.001111133LAug 30 · 12:30D. Tyn2.10671191V. Kocian1.6711115113WAug 22 · 21:28V. Kocian1.57116761D. Tyn2.2551111113LAug 22 · 20:00D. Tyn2.101111105122V. Kocian1.67981211143
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