TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13104699
Played Sep 10Finished
Daniel Tyn
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1134111161012511
Michal Kaspar
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:40 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeDaniel Tyn to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDaniel Tyn above · Michal Kaspar below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 84 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Daniel Tyn at 54.7%
84 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Tyn 9–10 Michal Kaspar Daniel Tyn has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:40What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Tyn
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-10 in 19
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tyn 1365 vs Kaspar 1214
Tyn
Wrong
both rated, 151 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tyn 100% vs Kaspar 20%
Tyn
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tyn 80% vs Kaspar 30%
Tyn
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tyn +5 · Kaspar -1
Tyn
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Tyn)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kaspar form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTyn 1.80 / Kaspar 1.91
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Tyn)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13104699
Tyn1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite47% won 26 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it80% 12 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it66% 19 of 29
Kaspar1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog48% won 23 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back32% 10 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTyn5wins
AwayKaspar5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTyn75%3 of 4
AwayKaspar66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tyn4Kaspar6n = 10Kaspar took 6 of 10
S2Tyn6Kaspar4n = 10Tyn took 6 of 10
S3Tyn6Kaspar4n = 10Tyn took 6 of 10
S4Tyn5Kaspar2n = 7Tyn took 5 of 7
S5Tyn2Kaspar4n = 6Kaspar took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTynKasparT − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.740.3+0.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTynKasparBasisWin rate · lifetime136 / 284 vs 72 / 16647.9%43.4%136 / 284 vs 72 / 166Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TynTyn 1.80/Kaspar 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.7%
Tyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kaspar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 07:30D. Tyn—811611113M. Kaspar—11811942
WAug 30 · 11:00D. Tyn—115115113M. Kaspar—91191152
WAug 17 · 10:00D. Tyn—71111113M. Kaspar—119891
WAug 13 · 06:30D. Tyn—1411113M. Kaspar—12890
LAug 6 · 08:30D. Tyn—11911982M. Kaspar—711511113
LJul 19 · 14:30D. Tyn—9690M. Kaspar—1111113
LMar 29 · 10:00D. Tyn—98111192M. Kaspar—111177113
WMar 26 · 13:00D. Tyn—1312133M. Kaspar—1110110
LMar 23 · 12:00D. Tyn—61181192M. Kaspar—116114113
LMar 22 · 10:00D. Tyn—41151172M. Kaspar—119117113
D. Tyn10
WSep 10 · 13:30D. Tyn1.851111123V. Kocian1.8556100WSep 10 · 11:00D. Tyn1.37111127113M. Levicky2.6597111172WSep 10 · 10:00V. Kocian1.759129101D. Tyn1.85111011123WSep 7 · 09:30V. Kocian1.57115891D. Tyn2.2591111113WSep 7 · 08:00D. Tyn1.4051412113M. Levicky2.7511121091WSep 7 · 07:30M. Kaspar1.8311811942D. Tyn1.83811611113LSep 7 · 06:00D. Tyn2.001110991V. Kocian1.7351211113LSep 6 · 09:30D. Tyn1.731211471D. Priesol2.00101311113WSep 6 · 08:30D. Tyn1.531111113M. Levicky2.388890WSep 6 · 07:00D. Tyn3.50611125113A. Schneeberger1.28119101192
M. Kaspar10
WSep 10 · 12:59M. Kaspar1.831111611143M. Levicky1.83813118122LSep 10 · 11:30M. Kaspar2.639690V. Kocian1.441111113WSep 10 · 10:30M. Levicky1.73111212572M. Kaspar2.009141011113LSep 7 · 08:59M. Kaspar1.731211981M. Levicky2.0014211113LSep 7 · 08:30V. Kocian1.531111133M. Kaspar2.3886110LSep 7 · 07:30M. Kaspar1.8311811942D. Tyn1.83811611113WSep 7 · 06:30M. Levicky1.837111081M. Kaspar1.8311712113WAug 30 · 12:59M. Levicky1.5716137992M. Kaspar2.2514111111113LAug 30 · 12:00M. Levicky1.831111113M. Kaspar1.837860LAug 30 · 11:00D. Tyn1.91115115113M. Kaspar1.8091191152
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