TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13109853
Played Sep 10Finished
Michal Kaspar
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11811136111181412
Matej Levicky
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingMichal Kaspar above · Matej Levicky below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 14-12
Point 105 set 5, 14-12
105 points played in total.
H2H Michal Kaspar 3–4 Matej Levicky Michal Kaspar has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Kaspar beat Levicky 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Levicky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Levicky form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaspar 1.83 / Levicky 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Levicky)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13109853
Kaspar1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Levicky1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKaspar3wins
AwayLevicky4wins
4 of 7 to a deciderLevicky leads 4–3, and 4 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKasparn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayLevicky66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kaspar1Levicky6n = 7Levicky took 6 of 7
S2Kaspar2Levicky5n = 7Levicky took 5 of 7
S3Kaspar4Levicky3n = 7Kaspar took 4 of 7
S4Kaspar5Levicky1n = 6Kaspar took 5 of 6
S5Kaspar2Levicky2n = 4split evenly
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricKasparLevickyK − LBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set16−5of 7Avg pointsper match44.343.9+0.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKasparLevickyBasisWin rate · lifetime73 / 167 vs 197 / 38143.7%51.7%73 / 167 vs 197 / 381Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LevickyKaspar 1.83/Levicky 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Levicky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kaspar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 10 · 10:30M. Kaspar—9141011113M. Levicky—111212572
LSep 7 · 08:59M. Kaspar—1211981M. Levicky—14211113
WSep 7 · 06:30M. Kaspar—11712113M. Levicky—7111081
WAug 30 · 12:59M. Kaspar—14111111113M. Levicky—16137992
LAug 30 · 12:00M. Kaspar—7860M. Levicky—1111113
LAug 18 · 08:00M. Kaspar—910111172M. Levicky—111276113
LAug 11 · 06:30M. Kaspar—103141192M. Levicky—1211126113
M. Kaspar10
WSep 10 · 12:30D. Tyn1.80114111052M. Kaspar1.91311612113LSep 10 · 11:30M. Kaspar2.639690V. Kocian1.441111113WSep 10 · 10:30M. Levicky1.73111212572M. Kaspar2.009141011113LSep 7 · 08:59M. Kaspar1.731211981M. Levicky2.0014211113LSep 7 · 08:30V. Kocian1.531111133M. Kaspar2.3886110LSep 7 · 07:30M. Kaspar1.8311811942D. Tyn1.83811611113WSep 7 · 06:30M. Levicky1.837111081M. Kaspar1.8311712113WAug 30 · 12:59M. Levicky1.5716137992M. Kaspar2.2514111111113LAug 30 · 12:00M. Levicky1.831111113M. Kaspar1.837860LAug 30 · 11:00D. Tyn1.91115115113M. Kaspar1.8091191152
M. Levicky10
LSep 10 · 12:00V. Kocian1.7311118113M. Levicky2.00981181LSep 10 · 11:00D. Tyn1.37111127113M. Levicky2.6597111172LSep 10 · 10:30M. Levicky1.73111212572M. Kaspar2.009141011113WSep 7 · 08:59M. Kaspar1.731211981M. Levicky2.0014211113LSep 7 · 08:00D. Tyn1.4051412113M. Levicky2.7511121091WSep 7 · 07:00V. Kocian1.7311491172M. Levicky2.00811119113LSep 7 · 06:30M. Levicky1.837111081M. Kaspar1.8311712113LSep 6 · 09:00A. Schneeberger1.4411111010113M. Levicky2.6346121292LAug 30 · 12:59M. Levicky1.5716137992M. Kaspar2.2514111111113WAug 30 · 12:00M. Levicky1.831111113M. Kaspar1.837860
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