TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13104692
Played Sep 10Finished
Vojtech Kocian
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119118811118––
Matej Levicky
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:41 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVojtech Kocian to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVojtech Kocian above · Matej Levicky below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 77 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Vojtech Kocian at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Kocian 7–6 Matej Levicky Matej Levicky has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:41What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kocian
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-6 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kocian 1344 vs Levicky 1212
Kocian
Correct
both rated, 132 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kocian 40% vs Levicky 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kocian 60% vs Levicky 20%
Kocian
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kocian +1 · Levicky -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kocian) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kocian form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKocian 1.73 / Levicky 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Kocian)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13104692
Kocian1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 46 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it85% 17 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it79% 33 of 42
Levicky2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 36 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back23% 14 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKocian5wins
AwayLevicky5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKocian57.1%4 of 7
AwayLevicky66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kocian7Levicky3n = 10Kocian took 7 of 10
S2Kocian2Levicky8n = 10Levicky took 8 of 10
S3Kocian4Levicky6n = 10Levicky took 6 of 10
S4Kocian4Levicky4n = 8split evenly
S5Kocian3Levicky2n = 5Kocian took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKocianLevickyK − LBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.140.2−1.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKocianLevickyBasisWin rate · lifetime89 / 171 vs 197 / 38052.1%51.8%89 / 171 vs 197 / 380Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KocianKocian 1.73/Levicky 2.00
Hit
What we said
56.5%
Kocian · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kocian won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 07:00V. Kocian—11491172M. Levicky—811119113
WAug 30 · 11:30V. Kocian—511119113M. Levicky—11541152
LJul 6 · 20:00V. Kocian—7720M. Levicky—1111113
WJun 14 · 07:00V. Kocian—11612113M. Levicky—7111081
WJun 5 · 21:30V. Kocian—11715113M. Levicky—6111381
LJun 5 · 18:00V. Kocian—111010101M. Levicky—61212123
LApr 11 · 18:00V. Kocian—111169112M. Levicky—721111133
WApr 5 · 12:00V. Kocian—129114113M. Levicky—101181182
LMar 22 · 21:30V. Kocian—5860M. Levicky—1111113
WMar 21 · 09:59V. Kocian—117711113M. Levicky—61111862
V. Kocian10
WSep 10 · 11:30M. Kaspar2.639690V. Kocian1.441111113LSep 10 · 10:00V. Kocian1.759129101D. Tyn1.85111011123LSep 7 · 09:30V. Kocian1.57115891D. Tyn2.2591111113WSep 7 · 08:30V. Kocian1.531111133M. Kaspar2.3886110LSep 7 · 07:00V. Kocian1.7311491172M. Levicky2.00811119113WSep 7 · 06:00D. Tyn2.001110991V. Kocian1.7351211113LAug 30 · 13:30V. Kocian1.7395110D. Tyn2.001111133WAug 30 · 12:30D. Tyn2.10671191V. Kocian1.6711115113WAug 30 · 11:30V. Kocian2.25511119113M. Levicky1.5711541152WAug 30 · 10:30M. Kaspar2.2568111582V. Kocian1.571111913113
M. Levicky10
LSep 10 · 11:00D. Tyn1.37111127113M. Levicky2.6597111172LSep 10 · 10:30M. Levicky1.73111212572M. Kaspar2.009141011113WSep 7 · 08:59M. Kaspar1.731211981M. Levicky2.0014211113LSep 7 · 08:00D. Tyn1.4051412113M. Levicky2.7511121091WSep 7 · 07:00V. Kocian1.7311491172M. Levicky2.00811119113LSep 7 · 06:30M. Levicky1.837111081M. Kaspar1.8311712113LSep 6 · 09:00A. Schneeberger1.4411111010113M. Levicky2.6346121292LSep 6 · 08:30D. Tyn1.531111113M. Levicky2.388890LSep 6 · 07:30M. Levicky2.5071490D. Priesol1.501116113LAug 30 · 11:30V. Kocian2.25511119113M. Levicky1.5711541152
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