TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13109855
Played Sep 10Finished
Daniel Tyn
Home
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1151161210––––
Vojtech Kocian
Away
1.85
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVojtech Kocian to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDaniel Tyn above · Vojtech Kocian below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 55 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Vojtech Kocian at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Tyn 5–9 Vojtech Kocian Daniel Tyn has won 5 of their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Tyn beat Kocian 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:03What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Kocian
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-9 in 14
Kocian
Wrong
gap of 4 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tyn 1350 vs Kocian 1352
Kocian
Wrong
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tyn 80% vs Kocian 60%
Tyn
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tyn 70% vs Kocian 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tyn -1 · Kocian +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kocian)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tyn form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTyn 1.85 / Kocian 1.85
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kocian)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13109855
Tyn1.85
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Kocian1.85
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTyn5wins
AwayKocian5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTyn50%3 of 6
AwayKocian50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tyn6Kocian4n = 10Tyn took 6 of 10
S2Tyn6Kocian4n = 10Tyn took 6 of 10
S3Tyn5Kocian5n = 10split evenly
S4Tyn6Kocian3n = 9Tyn took 6 of 9
S5Tyn0Kocian3n = 3Kocian took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTynKocianT − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.338.4+2.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTynKocianBasisWin rate · lifetime136 / 284 vs 90 / 17247.9%52.3%136 / 284 vs 90 / 172Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KocianTyn 1.85/Kocian 1.85
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kocian · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Tyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 10:00D. Tyn—111011123V. Kocian—9129101
WSep 7 · 09:30D. Tyn—91111113V. Kocian—115891
LSep 7 · 06:00D. Tyn—1110991V. Kocian—51211113
WAug 30 · 13:30D. Tyn—1111133V. Kocian—95110
LAug 30 · 12:30D. Tyn—671191V. Kocian—11115113
WAug 22 · 21:28D. Tyn—51111113V. Kocian—116761
LAug 22 · 20:00D. Tyn—1111105122V. Kocian—981211143
WAug 17 · 12:30D. Tyn—11119113V. Kocian—671181
LMay 15 · 18:30D. Tyn—31191192V. Kocian—117115113
LMay 13 · 10:30D. Tyn—11871392V. Kocian—4111111113
D. Tyn10
LSep 10 · 12:30D. Tyn1.80114111052M. Kaspar1.91311612113WSep 10 · 11:00D. Tyn1.37111127113M. Levicky2.6597111172WSep 10 · 10:00V. Kocian1.759129101D. Tyn1.85111011123WSep 7 · 09:30V. Kocian1.57115891D. Tyn2.2591111113WSep 7 · 08:00D. Tyn1.4051412113M. Levicky2.7511121091WSep 7 · 07:30M. Kaspar1.8311811942D. Tyn1.83811611113LSep 7 · 06:00D. Tyn2.001110991V. Kocian1.7351211113LSep 6 · 09:30D. Tyn1.731211471D. Priesol2.00101311113WSep 6 · 08:30D. Tyn1.531111113M. Levicky2.388890WSep 6 · 07:00D. Tyn3.50611125113A. Schneeberger1.28119101192
V. Kocian10
WSep 10 · 12:00V. Kocian1.7311118113M. Levicky2.00981181WSep 10 · 11:30M. Kaspar2.639690V. Kocian1.441111113LSep 10 · 10:00V. Kocian1.759129101D. Tyn1.85111011123LSep 7 · 09:30V. Kocian1.57115891D. Tyn2.2591111113WSep 7 · 08:30V. Kocian1.531111133M. Kaspar2.3886110LSep 7 · 07:00V. Kocian1.7311491172M. Levicky2.00811119113WSep 7 · 06:00D. Tyn2.001110991V. Kocian1.7351211113LAug 30 · 13:30V. Kocian1.7395110D. Tyn2.001111133WAug 30 · 12:30D. Tyn2.10671191V. Kocian1.6711115113WAug 30 · 11:30V. Kocian2.25511119113M. Levicky1.5711541152
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