TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13124840
Played Sep 13Finished
Roman Guliak
Home
1.47
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
13111195119111012
Zbynek Zientek
Away
2.35
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingRoman Guliak above · Zbynek Zientek below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 9-9
Point 98 set 5, 9-9
98 points drawn · the score is 4 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Roman Guliak 1–0 Zbynek Zientek Zbynek Zientek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Guliak beat Zientek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Guliak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zientek form (20%) is below what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGuliak 1.47 / Zientek 2.35
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Guliak)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13124840
Guliak1.47
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 52 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it75% 36 of 48
Zientek2.35
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog51% won 84 of 164
Down 0–1, comes back34% 31 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back19% 9 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeGuliak1wins
AwayZientek0wins
Guliak leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricGuliakZientekG − ZBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match34.027.0+7.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGuliakZientekBasisWin rate · lifetime341 / 687 vs 191 / 39049.6%49%341 / 687 vs 191 / 390Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GuliakGuliak 1.47/Zientek 2.35
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.3%
Guliak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zientek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 13 · 11:30R. Guliak341211113Z. Zientek2710890
R. Guliak10
LSep 13 · 12:00R. Guliak1.33571181D. Priesol3.2511116113WSep 13 · 11:30Z. Zientek2.2010890R. Guliak1.611211113LSep 13 · 10:00R. Guliak1.531011781T. Hrabec2.3812511113LSep 9 · 20:58R. Adam1.531212113R. Guliak2.38101090LSep 9 · 20:30M. Koral1.4411811113R. Guliak2.63811591LSep 9 · 19:30R. Guliak2.3811123952R. Adam1.539101111113LSep 9 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.441111109113R. Guliak2.6339121182LSep 7 · 16:58P. Hanel1.441111113R. Guliak2.636880LSep 7 · 16:00V. Cerny1.67911911113R. Guliak2.1011911992LSep 7 · 15:00P. Hanel1.571211113R. Guliak2.2510670
Z. Zientek10
LSep 13 · 12:30T. Hrabec1.801111123Z. Zientek1.9168100LSep 13 · 11:30Z. Zientek2.2010890R. Guliak1.611211113LSep 13 · 10:30D. Priesol1.8011114113Z. Zientek1.91811191WSep 2 · 09:30P. Varecha1.60761271Z. Zientek2.20111110113LSep 2 · 08:30A. Virag1.571111123Z. Zientek2.2577100WSep 2 · 07:30Z. Zientek2.50114911113P. Varecha1.5071111752WSep 2 · 06:30E. Sionkala1.36149571Z. Zientek3.00121111113LAug 30 · 09:00R. Kvasnicka1.61611711123Z. Zientek2.20117114102LAug 30 · 08:30Z. Zientek2.0011511892R. Kvasnicka1.73611811113LAug 30 · 07:00Z. Zientek2.00118681F. Zurek1.7391111113
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