TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120436
Played Sep 13Finished
Roman Guliak
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 8
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012115711811––
Tomas Hrabec
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:23 and never touched — 60.3% is still 60.3%
Graded at full timeTomas Hrabec to win
60.3%
60.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Guliak above · Tomas Hrabec below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 75 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Tomas Hrabec at 60.3%
75 points played in total.
H2H Roman Guliak 4–4 Tomas Hrabec Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:23What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Guliak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Guliak 1454 vs Hrabec 1383
Guliak
Wrong
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Guliak 0% vs Hrabec 40%
Hrabec
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Guliak 20% vs Hrabec 40%
Hrabec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Guliak -5 · Hrabec -1
Guliak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Guliak) · live re-read · sealed at 40% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Guliak form (0%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGuliak 1.53 / Hrabec 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Guliak)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120436
Guliak1.53
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 52 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it75% 36 of 48
Hrabec2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 17 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back41% 9 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back10% 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeGuliak4wins
AwayHrabec4wins
2 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGuliak50%2 of 4
AwayHrabec50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Guliak4Hrabec4n = 8split evenly
S2Guliak4Hrabec4n = 8split evenly
S3Guliak5Hrabec3n = 8Guliak took 5 of 8
S4Guliak3Hrabec5n = 8Hrabec took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home338%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away338%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricGuliakHrabecG − HBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match41.038.8+2.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGuliakHrabecBasisWin rate · lifetime343 / 689 vs 119 / 22849.8%52.2%343 / 689 vs 119 / 228Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GuliakGuliak 1.53/Hrabec 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.6%
Guliak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hrabec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WJun 21 · 17:00R. Guliak44111111113T. Hrabec32413781
LJun 21 · 14:00R. Guliak34711791T. Hrabec4011711113
WJun 14 · 08:00R. Guliak4211911113T. Hrabec30511771
LJun 3 · 17:01R. Guliak37119981T. Hrabec4181111113
WJun 3 · 16:30R. Guliak52814118113T. Hrabec49111271182
LMay 24 · 07:30R. Guliak50811111192T. Hrabec44113613113
LMay 3 · 07:30R. Guliak24132541T. Hrabec44111111113
WMay 2 · 08:30R. Guliak4591111143T. Hrabec301143121
R. Guliak10
LSep 9 · 20:58R. Adam1.531212113R. Guliak2.38101090LSep 9 · 20:30M. Koral1.4411811113R. Guliak2.63811591LSep 9 · 19:30R. Guliak2.3811123952R. Adam1.539101111113LSep 9 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.441111109113R. Guliak2.6339121182LSep 7 · 16:58P. Hanel1.441111113R. Guliak2.636880LSep 7 · 16:00V. Cerny1.67911911113R. Guliak2.1011911992LSep 7 · 15:00P. Hanel1.571211113R. Guliak2.2510670LSep 7 · 14:30R. Guliak2.20671151M. Blejchar1.6111118113WSep 5 · 21:30V. Cerny1.4811760R. Guliak2.451311113WSep 5 · 20:30R. Guliak1.919111011113F. Zurek1.8011812862
T. Hrabec10
LSep 6 · 13:30M. Kolek1.83913611173T. Hrabec1.831111119152WSep 6 · 12:30T. Hrabec1.73116911113M. Kolek2.0091111892LSep 6 · 11:00T. Hrabec2.0012911101D. Mikula1.7314118123WSep 6 · 10:00F. Zurek1.4411510161T. Hrabec2.6341112183LAug 29 · 09:29F. Zurek1.441111113T. Hrabec2.633830LAug 29 · 08:00T. Hrabec2.20311671F. Zurek1.6111911113WAug 29 · 07:30R. Kvasnicka2.2510121011T. Hrabec1.57121012113WAug 29 · 06:00T. Hrabec2.00116911113M. Kolek1.7381111752LAug 23 · 09:30T. Hrabec1.44107111182D. Priesol2.63121199113LAug 23 · 08:00F. Zurek1.6711911113T. Hrabec2.10711971
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