TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13099190
Played Sep 9Finished
Roman Guliak
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1191210311911511
Radim Adam
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:55 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeRadim Adam to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Guliak above · Radim Adam below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 92 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Radim Adam at 61.2%
92 points played in total.
H2H Roman Guliak 17–24 Radim Adam Roman Guliak has won 17 of their 41 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:55What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Adam
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-24 in 41
Adam
Correct
gap of 7 in 41, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Guliak 1497 vs Adam 1560
Adam
Correct
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Guliak 0% vs Adam 60%
Adam
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Guliak 40% vs Adam 70%
Adam
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Guliak -5 · Adam -1
Guliak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Adam)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Guliak form (0%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGuliak 2.38 / Adam 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Adam)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13099190
Guliak2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 84 of 201
Down 0–1, comes back24% 29 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 74
Adam1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 59 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it89% 32 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it81% 43 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGuliak4wins
AwayAdam6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderAdam leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGuliak50%2 of 4
AwayAdam66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Guliak4Adam6n = 10Adam took 6 of 10
S2Guliak3Adam7n = 10Adam took 7 of 10
S3Guliak5Adam5n = 10split evenly
S4Guliak3Adam3n = 6split evenly
S5Guliak2Adam2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricGuliakAdamG − ABasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.636.9−2.3per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGuliakAdamBasisWin rate · lifetime345 / 688 vs 192 / 37050.2%51.9%345 / 688 vs 192 / 370Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamGuliak 2.38/Adam 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Adam · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Adam won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 10 · 21:30R. Guliak—1111113R. Adam—6560
LAug 10 · 19:30R. Guliak—41212782R. Adam—11101011113
WMay 16 · 21:30R. Guliak—111011113R. Adam—812341
LMay 16 · 18:00R. Guliak—117851R. Adam—61111113
LMay 15 · 20:00R. Guliak—9970R. Adam—1111113
LMay 11 · 15:00R. Guliak—8870R. Adam—1111113
WMay 9 · 20:30R. Guliak—581111113R. Adam—11117792
WMay 6 · 20:00R. Guliak—1121111113R. Adam—13117842
LMay 2 · 06:00R. Guliak—10980R. Adam—1211113
LApr 25 · 18:30R. Guliak—11112502R. Adam—841111113
R. Guliak10
LSep 9 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.441111109113R. Guliak2.6339121182LSep 7 · 16:58P. Hanel1.441111113R. Guliak2.636880LSep 7 · 16:00V. Cerny1.67911911113R. Guliak2.1011911992LSep 7 · 15:00P. Hanel1.571211113R. Guliak2.2510670LSep 7 · 14:30R. Guliak2.20671151M. Blejchar1.6111118113WSep 5 · 21:30V. Cerny1.4811760R. Guliak2.451311113WSep 5 · 20:30R. Guliak1.919111011113F. Zurek1.8011812862WSep 5 · 19:00R. Guliak2.38139114113M. Blejchar1.53111191162LSep 5 · 18:00V. Cerny1.53119114113R. Guliak2.3881181142WSep 5 · 17:32J. Hrabec1.55861141R. Guliak2.2511112113
R. Adam10
LSep 9 · 18:00R. Adam1.837840M. Koral1.831111113WSep 8 · 20:58R. Adam2.0011116113T. Milota1.73691171WSep 8 · 20:30T. Milota1.57791191R. Adam2.2511115113LSep 8 · 19:30R. Adam2.201179111R. Vavrecka1.6141111133WSep 8 · 18:30L. Velicka1.7341111892R. Adam2.00116711113WSep 6 · 17:30M. Blejchar1.73118811122R. Adam2.00711115143LSep 6 · 16:00R. Adam1.8310111051M. Blejchar1.8312912113WSep 6 · 15:30V. Bosak3.5051080R. Adam1.281112113WSep 6 · 14:00R. Adam1.571117113P. Hanel2.2581580WSep 2 · 13:30P. Osvald1.5071211952R. Adam2.451110511113
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